inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 104 Excitement7.1 [73] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +21.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder 128 Comeback2.9 [137] LVPJalen Johnson (ATL): -19.3%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Garrison Mathews0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.070.09-0.00970%0.1610.002100%0.03
Onyeka Okongwu0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.03-0.01952%0.0900.00978%-0.00
David Roddy0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.000.01577%0.0800.00333%-0.02
Clint Capela0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.02-0.01835%0.0100.0010%-0.02
Mouhamed Gueye0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keaton Wallace0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Zaccharie Risacher-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.001250%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Dyson Daniels-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.011129%-0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Vit Krejci-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00736%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Trae Young-0.150,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.06-0.080.011467%0.1110-0.268100%0.03
Jalen Johnson-0.190,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.16-0.04-0.011327%-0.084-0.1100%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.140.110.042459%0.221-0.011191%0.06
Chet Holmgren0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.160.060.031278%0.263-0.07875%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.170.020.027100%0.1700.002100%0.01
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.000.02490%0.071-0.032100%0.01
Ousmane Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00462%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jalen Williams0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.020.021748%0.0100.00850%-0.06
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.00743%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Alex Ducas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adam Flagler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alex Reese0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dillon Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ajay Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.03-0.00329%0.022-0.0410%-0.03
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.040.000.04642%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.32.532.513.829.81.833.2142.9
league avg25.82.328.014.928.52.332.3135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +37.7%
OKC +11.2%
ATL -24.8%
OKC +26.0%
ATL -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLOKCNBAATLOKCNBA
this game15.013.414.4103.0125.5112.0
season13.313.8110.1112.6
opponent14.614.3102.2115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.413.015.119.015.0
OKC14.314.112.612.313.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Garrison Mathews39420.03-0.530.56-0.032-222414.215.2-1.0212.613.7-1.08
David Roddy3732-0.07-0.430.35-0.070-202015.214.50.7013.113.3-0.24
Vit Krejci3739-0.10-0.400.29-0.04-2-181614.615.0-0.4012.813.6-0.73
Clint Capela4646-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-4-161215.114.50.6113.812.71.08
Onyeka Okongwu5051-0.31-0.19-0.120.16-16-4-1214.515.1-0.6112.713.8-1.08
Zaccharie Risacher5856-0.37-0.13-0.240.13-17-3-1415.014.60.4313.612.80.87
Trae Young8077-0.40-0.10-0.300.13-18-2-1615.312.52.7813.313.00.26
Jalen Johnson6067-0.45-0.05-0.410.16-211-2214.515.3-0.7413.313.20.08
Dyson Daniels7375-0.630.13-0.760.07-244-2814.615.4-0.7613.512.31.27

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander79770.62-0.120.73-0.0924-32713.712.01.6214.616.2-1.67
Chet Holmgren73710.450.050.40-0.111921713.512.80.6715.014.70.36
Alex Caruso45470.440.060.38-0.061741312.414.1-1.6915.014.80.18
Cason Wallace52490.350.150.19-0.03138512.714.0-1.2914.914.9-0.02
Ajay Mitchell27250.340.160.180.08912-313.313.4-0.0616.814.32.51
Luguentz Dort60600.340.160.18-0.161741313.712.80.8615.414.21.22
Jalen Williams68700.170.33-0.17-0.24147713.512.90.5915.114.50.65
Alex Ducas330.000.50-0.50-0.09321-1814.313.30.9917.714.92.74
Ousmane Dieng1818-0.030.53-0.57-0.03021-2112.313.6-1.2313.915.2-1.27
Isaiah Joe3634-0.080.58-0.660.01-324-2712.813.6-0.8014.015.4-1.38
Aaron Wiggins3739-0.090.59-0.680.06-526-3114.412.71.7014.415.3-0.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.74,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 108, MIN 1180.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.74,0.59,0.69,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.93,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.4%
HOU 73, PHI 830.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.6,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,192.9%
BOS 87, CHH 990.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,192.6%