NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	5.3 [734]		MVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): +7.5%
Charlotte Hornets	99		Comeback	2.3 [758]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -32.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	61%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	69%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	18	49%	0.10	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	7	45%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.01
Eric Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.16	-0.11	0.06	20	43%	-0.13	6	-0.19	6	83%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	13	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	14	63%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	71%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	16	56%	0.10	5	-0.15	4	50%	-0.05
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	11	60%	0.03	6	-0.16	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.5	29.2	15.8	22.6	2.5	26.5	126.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +45.8%

BOS -5.3%

CHH +4.3%

CHH +5.5%

BOS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHH	NBA	BOS	CHH	NBA
this game	14.9	16.6	15.5	94.6	108.8	100.9
season	15.1	15.8		99.7	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.4		97.0	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.5	15.2	15.7	15.2	14.9
CHH	17.3	14.8	14.3	20.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	20	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-8	4	13.9	15.1	-1.19	15.3	17.0	-1.65
Tony Battie	59	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-8	4	14.8	15.0	-0.19	16.4	16.9	-0.43
Walter McCarty	7	6	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-9	6	11.6	15.2	-3.58	17.5	16.5	0.96
Kenny Anderson	52	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-6	0	14.4	15.4	-1.01	16.9	16.2	0.79
Bryant Stith	70	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-7	2	15.1	14.1	0.98	16.6	16.5	0.11
Vitaly Potapenko	32	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-6	0	15.4	14.6	0.76	16.9	16.4	0.43
Eric Williams	28	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-5	-2	14.1	15.2	-1.06	16.9	16.5	0.48
Randy Brown	40	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-6	0	15.4	14.4	1.01	16.2	16.9	-0.79
Paul Pierce	66	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-4	-4	15.2	14.0	1.23	16.8	16.0	0.81
Antoine Walker	86	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-1	-10	15.0	13.0	2.01	16.5	17.5	-0.96

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	80	81	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	1	10	16.5	17.5	-0.97	15.0	13.6	1.41
P.J. Brown	76	78	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	1	10	16.7	15.9	0.88	15.0	14.1	0.87
Jamal Mashburn	84	84	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	2	8	16.2	21.4	-5.23	14.8	15.5	-0.68
Hersey Hawkins	34	34	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-1	14	18.1	15.7	2.42	15.4	14.6	0.89
Otis Thorpe	29	30	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	3	6	18.8	15.6	3.21	15.2	14.7	0.52
Elden Campbell	62	62	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	9	-6	15.6	18.8	-3.21	14.7	15.2	-0.52
Lee Nailon	18	19	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	8	-4	17.8	16.3	1.46	15.1	14.8	0.22
David Wesley	68	69	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	12	-12	16.0	18.4	-2.45	14.4	16.3	-1.90
Eddie Robinson	4	3	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	13	-14	17.0	16.6	0.41	12.0	15.0	-2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 88, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.99,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	94.4%
CHA 86, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DEN 71, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%