NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	108		Excitement	5.8 [690]		MVP	Nemanja Bjelica (MIN): +23.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	118		Comeback	2.3 [855]		LVP	Kristaps Porzingis (NYK): -15.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle O'Quinn	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	7	71%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.01	13	62%	0.14	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	-0.00	-0.04	10	80%	0.10	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	81%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	12	69%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.03	0.05	10	70%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	19	40%	-0.07	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.12	0.00	4	125%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.01	11	74%	0.16	1	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.01	15	68%	0.18	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.07	-0.03	8	62%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	53%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.04	12	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	20	37%	-0.04	2	-0.03	3	33%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	43%	0.01	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	26.3	12.7	25.4	2.4	28.6	119.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +16.0%

MIN +7.7%

MIN +12.0%

MIN +6.3%

MIN +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	14.7	112.5	126.9	107.5
season	14.9	15.3		105.9	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.5		110.2	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	15.6	14.3	15.1	15.1
MIN	14.1	15.0	15.1	17.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	49	48	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.19	11	-21	32	13.5	16.7	-3.28	16.1	14.6	1.48
Jarrett Jack	68	65	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-13	16	14.2	17.2	-3.02	15.9	14.2	1.66
Doug McDermott	12	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-8	6	16.9	14.8	2.11	14.6	15.5	-0.88
Lance Thomas	58	58	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-7	4	15.0	15.1	-0.10	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Kyle O'Quinn	41	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-10	10	15.9	14.4	1.49	15.6	15.3	0.29
Michael Beasley	31	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-6	2	16.9	14.2	2.66	15.6	15.3	0.31
Enes Kanter	55	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-10	0	-10	14.4	15.9	-1.49	15.3	15.6	-0.29
Frank Ntilikina	28	28	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.09	-13	3	-16	17.2	14.2	3.02	14.2	15.9	-1.66
Kristaps Porzingis	71	70	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.23	-15	5	-20	15.1	15.1	-0.06	15.3	15.7	-0.44
Courtney Lee	67	63	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.19	-17	7	-24	15.1	14.9	0.20	15.2	15.9	-0.77

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	77	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	1	8	15.9	13.1	2.83	15.3	14.2	1.02
Tyus Jones	30	29	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-3	16	15.2	15.5	-0.36	16.8	14.3	2.46
Jamal Crawford	31	30	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	-1	12	16.0	15.1	0.84	16.9	14.2	2.66
Nemanja Bjelica	22	20	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	1	8	14.8	15.6	-0.83	18.5	14.2	4.39
Gorgui Dieng	39	39	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-1	12	15.5	15.3	0.18	16.5	14.1	2.38
Andrew Wiggins	70	74	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	10	-10	14.8	17.2	-2.40	14.1	18.2	-4.09
Taj Gibson	67	72	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	10	-10	15.2	15.9	-0.66	14.1	18.1	-4.01
Jimmy Butler	66	70	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	10	-10	15.5	15.1	0.47	14.3	17.1	-2.75
Jeff Teague	63	67	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	13	-16	15.5	15.2	0.36	14.3	16.8	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.74,0.59,0.69,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.93,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.99,1	92.7%
MEM 78, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.5%
PHI 102, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.46,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	92.5%