NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	6.6 [545]		MVP	Jonas Valanciunas (TOR): +21.5%
Toronto Raptors	113		Comeback	2.2 [803]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -17.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.02	0.02	16	74%	0.21	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Mike Muscala	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	4	55%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Jimmy Butler	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.21	-0.00	0.13	27	66%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Landry Shamet	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	40%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	0.02	4	75%	0.05	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.19	-0.01	-0.05	17	28%	-0.06	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Ben Simmons	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	6	67%	0.02	7	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.19	0.08	0.05	13	74%	0.21	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.01	0.02	24	67%	0.19	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	13	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	44%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	9	28%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	0.02	8	39%	-0.04	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.3	32.0	14.8	25.4	3.3	32.3	137.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -3.3%

TOR +2.8%

TOR +8.4%

TOR +36.3%

TOR +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	13.4	14.4	14.3	100.0	107.6	109.3
season	14.0	14.3		110.9	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.1		105.9	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.8	11.5	13.3	14.6	13.4
TOR	14.0	12.9	14.9	16.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	51	50	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.07	2	-13	15	13.0	13.9	-0.96	14.3	14.4	-0.14
Landry Shamet	35	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-15	19	12.6	13.9	-1.28	15.5	13.8	1.72
Jimmy Butler	81	84	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-14	17	12.8	15.9	-3.10	15.0	11.8	3.26
Furkan Korkmaz	15	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-5	-1	16.1	13.0	3.08	9.9	15.1	-5.18
Ben Simmons	72	75	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-12	13	13.5	13.3	0.15	14.6	13.9	0.71
T.J. McConnell	49	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-9	7	12.8	14.0	-1.24	14.5	14.2	0.28
Wilson Chandler	56	58	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	2	-15	13.7	13.2	0.53	14.9	13.7	1.29
Joel Embiid	77	80	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.09	-23	12	-35	14.0	11.7	2.28	13.8	16.1	-2.24
JJ Redick	74	76	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.18	-21	10	-31	14.0	12.1	1.89	13.9	15.7	-1.87

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	36	36	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-3	17	14.7	14.2	0.45	14.9	12.7	2.19
CJ Miles	23	22	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	3	5	14.8	14.2	0.58	13.0	13.6	-0.56
Pascal Siakam	68	65	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	9	-7	15.5	12.3	3.16	13.6	13.1	0.52
Delon Wright	29	26	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	6	-1	14.1	14.5	-0.32	13.3	13.5	-0.13
Fred VanVleet	38	38	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	4	3	14.9	14.1	0.86	14.4	12.9	1.56
Kyle Lowry	73	71	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	6	-1	14.3	14.4	-0.10	13.0	14.4	-1.36
Danny Green	70	69	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	6	-1	14.2	14.7	-0.51	13.4	13.6	-0.24
OG Anunoby	41	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.11	8	3	5	13.1	15.2	-2.09	13.2	13.6	-0.36
Kawhi Leonard	76	75	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	7	-3	14.1	15.2	-1.11	13.4	13.4	-0.00
Greg Monroe	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	10	-9	14.1	14.4	-0.34	12.6	13.6	-0.97
Lorenzo Brown	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	9.0	14.5	-5.48	16.5	13.4	3.12
Serge Ibaka	56	54	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	15	-19	14.2	14.5	-0.26	12.7	14.3	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.46,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, LAC 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.56,0.52,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
MIA 101, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.57,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.71,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,1	93.2%
PHI 75, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%