NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	75		Excitement	5.9 [375]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +18.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	91		Comeback	2.1 [489]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): -22.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	8	62%	0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	15	58%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	36%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	10	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	9	23%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Eric Snow	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.04	-0.06	6	17%	-0.05	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	21	46%	-0.02	4	-0.16	10	80%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	15	67%	0.21	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.05
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	71%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	25%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	10	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	9	57%	-0.01	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	4	60%	-0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	10	20%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.15	-0.07	-0.00	11	27%	-0.12	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	23.4	15.0	26.1	1.8	40.3	133.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +20.8%

POR +16.1%

POR +7.6%

POR +5.2%

POR +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	POR	NBA	PHI	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.8	80.6	96.8	99.6
season	15.6	16.0		97.0	102.0
opponent	15.9	15.9		96.2	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	20.1	13.4	14.4	15.5
POR	16.3	15.9	14.8	14.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	12.6	15.7	-3.07	12.2	15.5	-3.27
Harvey Grant	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-15	14	18.0	15.2	2.76	12.9	15.6	-2.68
Matt Geiger	61	61	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-15	14	15.2	16.2	-0.99	15.8	14.5	1.30
Larry Hughes	33	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-15	14	14.4	16.1	-1.77	16.3	14.7	1.66
George Lynch	56	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-11	6	15.2	15.9	-0.64	16.1	14.1	2.09
Aaron McKie	38	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-5	-6	16.1	15.1	1.01	16.0	14.8	1.24
Tyrone Hill	58	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	-4	-8	16.0	14.6	1.41	15.2	15.5	-0.37
Eric Snow	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.05	-17	1	-18	15.4	15.9	-0.47	14.7	17.1	-2.37
Allen Iverson	75	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	-2	-12	15.4	15.8	-0.41	15.0	16.5	-1.47
Theo Ratliff	59	60	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.05	-20	4	-24	15.9	14.8	1.17	14.8	16.1	-1.33

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	45	45	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.03	22	-6	28	15.1	15.5	-0.40	16.9	14.2	2.72
Brian Grant	50	50	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.10	23	-7	30	15.6	15.0	0.60	16.5	14.4	2.11
Greg Anthony	48	46	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.03	20	-4	24	14.1	16.6	-2.52	16.0	15.0	1.02
Rasheed Wallace	73	73	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-1	18	15.2	15.7	-0.47	15.4	15.9	-0.57
Walt Williams	38	36	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	5	6	14.7	15.7	-0.94	17.3	14.4	2.94
Jermaine O'Neal	11	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	16	-16	15.3	15.3	-0.03	19.3	15.0	4.25
Stacey Augmon	58	59	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	12	-8	15.1	15.6	-0.42	14.2	17.8	-3.56
Bonzi Wells	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	12.2	15.5	-3.27	12.6	15.7	-3.07
Kelvin Cato	2	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	17	-18	0.0	15.6	-15.63	9.5	15.6	-6.14
Damon Stoudamire	46	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	20	-24	16.6	14.1	2.52	15.0	16.0	-1.02
Arvydas Sabonis	47	46	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	21	-26	16.1	14.4	1.70	14.4	16.6	-2.20
Isaiah Rider	47	46	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	21	-26	16.1	14.4	1.70	14.4	16.6	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 73, PHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.6,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DET 110, OKC 123	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.41,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
NOP 87, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,1	93.6%