NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	6.3 [548]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +15.6%
Dallas Mavericks	112		Comeback	1.9 [313]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -22.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	15	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Celestand	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	64%	0.05	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	25	55%	-0.04	5	-0.15	19	42%	-0.19
Kobe Bryant	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23	-0.17	-0.09	-0.03	20	39%	-0.08	6	-0.15	1	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	0.01	21	60%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	9	78%	0.18	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	14	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	11	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.03	11	70%	0.06	3	-0.09	11	91%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	10	35%	-0.06	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	26.9	15.8	25.4	2.4	41.6	135.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -3.7%

DAL +22.6%

LAL -9.0%

DAL +40.1%

DAL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.0	15.2	104.1	114.3	101.7
season	15.3	14.8		105.6	104.2
opponent	14.8	15.1		104.6	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.9	14.5	13.6	14.4	14.4
DAL	14.5	14.8	16.4	14.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	72	71	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.19	6	-16	22	14.2	14.7	-0.44	15.4	14.1	1.31
A.C. Green	44	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-10	10	15.2	13.7	1.56	15.8	14.4	1.37
Travis Knight	10	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.11	2	-12	14	11.8	14.7	-2.86	13.2	15.3	-2.02
Brian Shaw	72	72	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-13	16	13.7	16.2	-2.43	15.0	15.0	0.03
Devean George	9	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-5	0	16.7	14.1	2.53	16.1	14.9	1.20
Robert Horry	31	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-6	2	13.6	14.7	-1.06	14.5	15.3	-0.82
Kobe Bryant	92	90	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	0	-10	14.0	20.0	-6.00	14.4	21.7	-7.33
Shaquille O'Neal	87	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.11	-12	2	-14	14.8	10.7	4.10	15.3	13.2	2.02
John Celestand	47	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	3	-16	14.7	14.1	0.60	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Rick Fox	26	26	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.05	-17	7	-24	15.3	14.0	1.23	15.2	15.0	0.18

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	97	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	15.1	4.0	11.13	14.4	0.0	14.37
Hubert Davis	52	52	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	1	8	14.6	15.5	-0.90	14.2	14.5	-0.25
Steve Nash	96	95	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	4	2	15.0	14.5	0.53	14.2	20.0	-5.81
Cedric Ceballos	48	47	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	4	2	14.6	15.4	-0.82	14.1	14.6	-0.46
Erick Strickland	59	59	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	1	8	14.2	16.3	-2.10	14.2	14.6	-0.33
Shawn Bradley	56	58	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	5	0	16.0	13.7	2.37	15.1	13.4	1.68
Dirk Nowitzki	57	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	8	-6	15.1	15.0	0.08	14.1	14.7	-0.59
Sean Rooks	22	23	0.17	0.34	-0.17	0.14	1	9	-8	16.3	14.6	1.67	16.7	13.7	2.99
Damon Jones	3	3	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	8	-6	12.3	15.1	-2.77	2.3	14.7	-12.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 85, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
IND 88, SEA 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,1,1	94.0%
MIL 90, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.9%