NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	112		Excitement	8.3 [224]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +53.8%
Indiana Pacers	122		Comeback	2.7 [237]		LVP	Bruce Brown (IND): -9.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0.23	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.23	0.07	0.14	-0.02	26	54%	0.23	2	-0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Jaylen Brown	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.11	0.09	0.03	23	64%	0.25	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Sam Hauser	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.05	0.01	9	83%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	16	53%	0.09	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Dalano Banton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.54,0.54	0.54	0.19	0.34	-0.00	18	70%	0.54	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.08	0.04	11	81%	0.19	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.01	14	53%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.02	10	64%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	16	52%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	-0.00	8	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	10	48%	-0.01	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	3.3	26.3	16.4	26.6	3.3	35.6	134.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.2%

IND +8.3%

BOS -21.4%

IND +27.1%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	14.8	13.3	14.5	108.7	119.6	113.9
season	14.8	13.7		121.3	120.1
opponent	14.6	14.7		117.2	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.3	17.8	16.0	13.3	14.8
IND	15.3	11.5	12.8	13.4	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Hauser	52	50	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.23	12	-19	31	13.7	15.8	-2.11	13.0	13.6	-0.65
Payton Pritchard	31	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-3	-1	17.2	13.7	3.41	12.7	13.6	-0.92
Dalano Banton	24	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-5	3	15.6	14.5	1.05	13.3	13.3	0.01
Al Horford	69	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-8	9	14.1	16.1	-2.00	13.5	13.0	0.51
Luke Kornet	34	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	1	-9	16.1	14.1	2.00	13.0	13.5	-0.51
Derrick White	79	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-6	5	14.2	16.7	-2.57	13.5	12.5	1.02
Jrue Holiday	80	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	5	-17	14.9	14.3	0.61	13.4	13.0	0.46
Jayson Tatum	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	4	-15	14.9	14.3	0.55	13.1	14.0	-0.83
Jaylen Brown	66	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	3	-13	14.6	15.1	-0.52	13.7	12.6	1.04

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	69	71	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.19	26	-19	45	12.3	15.4	-3.08	14.6	15.2	-0.60
Myles Turner	74	75	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.20	19	-12	31	13.3	13.4	-0.11	14.6	15.3	-0.70
Tyrese Haliburton	85	86	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-5	17	13.0	15.0	-2.02	15.1	13.4	1.71
Aaron Nesmith	66	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	8	-9	13.6	12.9	0.70	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Bruce Brown	78	79	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	8	-9	13.5	12.7	0.79	14.1	17.0	-2.95
T.J. McConnell	19	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	12	-17	15.6	12.8	2.78	13.7	15.0	-1.34
Bennedict Mathurin	55	56	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	13	-19	13.9	12.6	1.29	15.8	13.5	2.33
Obi Toppin	54	55	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	9	-11	13.4	13.3	0.08	14.7	14.9	-0.26
Andrew Nembhard	10	9	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.02	-7	14	-21	12.4	13.4	-1.01	18.7	14.4	4.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.49,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.54,0.6,0.47,0.55,0.66,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 101, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.96,1	91.6%
DAL 105, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.68,0.9,1	91.3%
CHI 98, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.61,0.71,0.55,0.92,1	91.2%