NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	133		Excitement	13.2 [7]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (PHI): +65.2%
San Antonio Spurs	126		Comeback	45.3 [44]		LVP	Tre Jones (SAS): -24.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.65	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.65	0.06	0.59	-0.00	7	64%	0.65	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0.51	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.85,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.51	0.18	0.31	-0.03	41	55%	0.61	1	-0.10	12	100%	0.13
Ricky Council IV	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.31	0.10	0.21	0.00	5	85%	0.31	0	0.00	3	100%	0.08
KJ Martin	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29	0.06	0.24	0.01	5	80%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Paul Reed	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.04	-0.10	0.03	22	57%	0.08	3	-0.18	2	0%	-0.04
Cameron Payne	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	8	19%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Champagnie	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64	0.65	0.12	0.53	0.01	10	68%	0.64	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.28,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.13	0.00	15	69%	0.41	2	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	-0.07	0.24	-0.01	11	39%	0.24	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	37%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.07	-0.00	20	70%	0.23	9	-0.26	7	86%	0.05
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.04	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	8	39%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tre Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.17	-0.02	17	47%	-0.01	5	-0.23	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	26.5	2.7	30.3	14.8	27.2	2.6	35.1	3.3	8.2	2.4	17.3	170.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.0	2.4	15.0	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +18.0%

PHI +12.4%

SAS -13.0%

PHI +40.9%

SAS -8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAS	NBA	PHI	SAS	NBA
this game	13.9	14.4	14.5	107.3	103.3	113.9
season	14.9	13.9		115.6	108.6
opponent	14.3	14.5		115.2	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	13.5	15.5	14.0	12.0	13.4	13.8
SAS	15.3	10.2	16.1	15.7	18.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Council IV	46	46	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-7	21	13.1	14.4	-1.33	15.6	13.6	1.99
Tyrese Maxey	116	115	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-7	21	13.7	16.9	-3.18	14.4	14.7	-0.34
Nicolas Batum	97	96	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-1	9	14.0	13.6	0.40	14.4	14.5	-0.18
Paul Reed	66	66	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-3	13	13.8	14.0	-0.18	14.8	13.9	0.89
Kelly Oubre Jr.	103	102	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	6	-5	14.0	13.4	0.63	14.4	14.4	-0.01
Buddy Hield	41	39	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	7	-7	14.4	13.7	0.73	14.0	14.6	-0.54
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	28	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.12	0	7	-7	13.8	13.9	-0.15	14.4	14.4	-0.01
KJ Martin	50	48	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.30	4	3	1	14.5	13.5	0.97	14.3	14.5	-0.20
Cameron Payne	42	42	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	16	-25	14.1	13.8	0.36	13.3	15.0	-1.73
Mo Bamba	31	30	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	14	-21	13.7	14.0	-0.30	14.1	14.5	-0.43

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sandro Mamukelashvili	45	47	0.45	-0.95	1.40	-0.05	17	-24	41	14.3	14.4	-0.10	15.6	12.9	2.69
Devonte' Graham	75	74	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	-5	3	14.3	14.6	-0.29	13.7	14.3	-0.60
Zach Collins	29	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-1	-5	14.7	14.3	0.43	14.1	13.8	0.22
Keldon Johnson	53	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	1	-9	14.2	14.5	-0.33	13.0	14.5	-1.51
Victor Wembanyama	93	93	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-6	5	14.3	14.7	-0.43	13.8	14.1	-0.22
Malaki Branham	97	96	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-4	1	13.7	17.2	-3.48	13.8	14.4	-0.59
Tre Jones	102	103	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-2	-3	14.5	13.6	0.89	14.2	12.2	2.00
Blake Wesley	34	38	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.38	-11	4	-15	14.9	14.2	0.76	13.8	13.9	-0.13
Julian Champagnie	82	85	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.29	-16	9	-25	15.1	13.0	2.11	13.5	14.8	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.72,0.9,0.92,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.72,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, BOS 89	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.84,0	88.0%
HOU 78, POR 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.79,0.89,1,1	86.5%
DET 92, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.89,0.89,0.85,1	86.5%