NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	78		Excitement	6.5 [507]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +29.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	85		Comeback	3.6 [653]		LVP	Qyntel Woods (POR): -20.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	11	54%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	13	65%	0.12	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torraye Braggs	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.02	12	66%	0.06	2	-0.11	8	87%	0.03
Jim Jackson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.01	-0.11	0.02	13	52%	-0.07	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03
Kelvin Cato	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	5	25%	-0.11	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Steve Francis	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	9	22%	-0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.14	0.18	0.02	13	77%	0.34	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.07	-0.01	14	41%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	13	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	25%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	19	43%	-0.08	2	-0.08	11	82%	0.04
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	10	25%	-0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	581.1	2.7	34.1	17.4	-684.7	2.7	31.2	-15.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -9.6%

POR +21.3%

POR +11.8%

POR +29.6%

HOU -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	18.1	15.7	90.7	98.8	100.5
season	16.5	17.1		98.8	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.2	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.2	16.0	16.7	14.7	15.4
POR	19.4	15.3	15.3	23.2	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bostjan Nachbar	28	30	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.16	8	-15	23	15.3	15.5	-0.21	19.0	17.6	1.45
Moochie Norris	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-5	3	17.6	15.0	2.63	18.9	17.9	1.08
Kelvin Cato	51	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-11	15	15.1	16.0	-0.91	17.0	19.6	-2.60
Torraye Braggs	9	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-4	1	16.3	15.3	1.01	18.7	18.0	0.68
Jim Jackson	71	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-7	7	14.7	19.1	-4.40	17.5	20.8	-3.26
Maurice Taylor	44	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.10	-10	3	-13	15.8	15.0	0.84	17.2	19.0	-1.89
Yao Ming	66	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	0	-7	15.6	14.9	0.69	19.7	13.3	6.37
Cuttino Mobley	71	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.16	-15	8	-23	15.8	13.8	1.97	18.1	17.7	0.46
Steve Francis	75	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	3	-13	15.2	16.9	-1.70	17.7	20.0	-2.29

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	76	73	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-4	15	18.4	15.5	2.89	16.1	11.6	4.49
Damon Stoudamire	73	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-5	17	17.4	21.7	-4.28	15.3	16.0	-0.67
Qyntel Woods	53	53	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-5	17	17.5	19.0	-1.53	14.7	16.7	-2.01
Rasheed Wallace	69	70	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.16	11	-4	15	17.2	21.4	-4.18	15.6	14.6	0.99
Ruben Patterson	37	37	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	-7	21	17.0	18.9	-1.86	17.2	14.1	3.13
Dale Davis	29	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	8	-9	19.7	17.2	2.41	14.4	15.9	-1.53
Jeff McInnis	59	60	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.40	-12	19	-31	19.9	14.1	5.81	15.3	15.6	-0.27
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	1	1	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	7	-7	17.0	18.1	-1.07	21.0	15.4	5.64
Matt Carroll	4	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	8	-9	11.0	18.4	-7.40	7.7	15.8	-8.05
Vladimir Stepania	29	30	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	18	-29	18.9	17.6	1.26	14.7	15.8	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.79,0.89,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 109, CHA 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.79,0.76,0.53,0.61,0.78,0.85,0.98,1	93.3%
NOH 99, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.95,1	92.7%
UTA 90, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.89,0.98,1	92.7%