NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	90		Excitement	6.9 [416]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +21.4%
Sacramento Kings	96		Comeback	2.1 [960]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -19.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Ostertag	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	12	67%	0.12	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	45%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	7	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Matt Harpring	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	0.01	0.05	16	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	10	57%	0.00	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Scott Padgett	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.23,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.06	0.01	23	46%	-0.05	5	-0.15	8	62%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.17	0.00	13	57%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	81%	0.12	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	4	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	10	90%	-0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	71%	0.04	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.06	-0.01	23	50%	0.09	5	-0.12	8	62%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	7	28%	-0.12	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	4.5	28.5	21.3	30.3	3.6	38.5	150.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +37.6%

SAC +2.8%

SAC +2.7%

SAC +4.8%

SAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	18.9	13.7	15.5	102.3	107.9	101.6
season	16.3	14.0		103.1	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		98.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.1	21.4	19.2	16.2	18.9
SAC	12.2	14.6	15.1	13.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-8	10	3.7	19.4	-15.73	1.5	14.3	-12.78
Calbert Cheaney	43	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-4	2	21.6	16.3	5.27	15.4	11.9	3.48
Karl Malone	75	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-9	12	19.3	16.5	2.82	14.0	12.0	2.00
Tony Massenburg	18	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	1	-8	19.2	18.8	0.45	14.9	13.5	1.42
Greg Ostertag	70	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-8	10	19.0	18.4	0.60	14.0	12.6	1.37
Mark Jackson	26	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	2	-10	18.5	19.0	-0.57	12.4	14.3	-1.87
John Stockton	62	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-8	10	19.0	18.5	0.57	14.3	12.4	1.87
Matt Harpring	74	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.32	2	-8	10	18.4	21.1	-2.63	13.0	17.2	-4.20
Scott Padgett	10	11	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	6	-18	18.8	18.9	-0.07	12.6	13.9	-1.22
Andrei Kirilenko	59	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	6	-18	17.4	21.8	-4.37	13.3	14.5	-1.24

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	59	58	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-9	24	13.0	15.2	-2.20	17.7	21.1	-3.39
Keon Clark	35	35	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	-7	20	13.5	13.9	-0.41	19.6	18.4	1.27
Bobby Jackson	39	40	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-5	16	13.2	14.1	-0.85	20.5	17.5	3.05
Chris Webber	82	81	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	6	-6	13.7	13.4	0.30	18.5	22.7	-4.18
Hedo Turkoglu	14	15	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	1	4	13.5	13.7	-0.25	18.5	18.9	-0.40
Vlade Divac	57	57	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	5	-4	14.7	12.0	2.72	19.7	17.4	2.28
Peja Stojakovic	62	61	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	7	-8	13.7	13.8	-0.10	19.0	18.7	0.28
Mike Bibby	56	54	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.27	-7	13	-20	13.7	13.6	0.11	18.2	19.9	-1.66
Doug Christie	41	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	13	-20	14.1	13.4	0.72	18.6	19.1	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.89,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.99,1	93.7%
PHI 90, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.84,1,1	93.4%
CHI 71, MEM 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.3%