NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	90		Excitement	7.2 [387]		MVP	Hollis Thompson (PHI): +14.6%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	1.9 [1292]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -48.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	0.01	0.05	7	113%	0.18	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.01	19	56%	0.19	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03
Jarvis Varnado	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Nunnally	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Byron Mullens	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Davies	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tony Wroten	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	18	44%	0.05	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.04
Henry Sims	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.15,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.37,-0.37,-0.45,-0.48,-0.48	-0.21	-0.27	0.00	20	33%	-0.27	6	-0.21	5	20%	-0.09

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.00	5	71%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.02	11	50%	0.10	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	125%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.03	0.05	14	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	16	94%	0.05
Chris Copeland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	16	61%	0.18	5	-0.19	9	89%	0.04
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	36%	-0.02	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	14	24%	-0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.4	32.6	16.5	25.9	1.8	37.3	144.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +0.5%

IND +17.2%

IND +12.5%

IND +14.4%

IND +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	13.5	16.4	15.1	91.8	104.2	105.2
season	13.7	15.8		98.4	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.0		99.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.0	13.3	14.0	12.8	13.5
IND	16.0	13.9	20.3	16.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Sims	59	56	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.12	8	-17	25	12.9	14.3	-1.38	17.0	15.5	1.52
Brandon Davies	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-5	1	14.4	13.4	1.02	13.4	16.6	-3.22
James Nunnally	19	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-5	1	14.3	13.3	1.04	15.7	16.5	-0.79
Tony Wroten	75	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-7	5	13.6	13.1	0.46	16.6	15.8	0.77
Thaddeus Young	82	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-8	7	13.6	13.0	0.57	17.1	13.1	3.95
Elliot Williams	31	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	13.8	13.3	0.53	15.3	17.0	-1.66
Jarvis Varnado	15	15	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	0	-9	15.1	13.2	1.95	17.0	16.3	0.70
Byron Mullens	33	33	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	3	-15	13.3	13.6	-0.31	14.1	17.6	-3.51
Michael Carter-Williams	87	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	13.3	15.2	-1.92	16.6	14.7	1.91
Hollis Thompson	82	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	13.3	14.5	-1.22	16.6	15.4	1.24

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	39	39	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-5	19	15.7	16.9	-1.22	14.3	13.0	1.29
Evan Turner	44	46	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-3	15	15.3	17.3	-1.99	13.8	13.2	0.57
David West	68	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-1	11	16.8	15.4	1.45	13.3	14.0	-0.77
Paul George	70	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	2	5	16.9	14.9	2.02	13.3	14.0	-0.70
George Hill	68	72	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	7	-5	17.4	14.0	3.37	13.5	13.4	0.13
Donald Sloan	27	26	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	2	5	14.0	17.4	-3.37	13.4	13.5	-0.13
Lance Stephenson	76	77	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	10	-11	16.5	15.9	0.64	13.5	13.5	-0.06
Luis Scola	28	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	9	-9	15.4	16.8	-1.39	13.3	13.5	-0.21
Roy Hibbert	55	56	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.16	-8	17	-25	16.9	15.7	1.18	13.3	13.7	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.84,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 95, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.93,1,1,1	93.9%
UTA 90, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.89,0.98,1	93.4%
MIL 85, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.84,0.85,1	93.1%