NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	92		Excitement	7.0 [413]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): +28.9%
Atlanta Hawks	94		Comeback	2.3 [569]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (ATL): -15.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	0.00	9	61%	0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	71%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	13	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.09
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	9	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	9	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	18	51%	-0.07	0	0.00	13	77%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	13	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jon Barry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.06	0.22	-0.00	15	66%	0.33	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	17	61%	0.14	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ira Newble	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	4	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	12	50%	0.01	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.04
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	9	52%	-0.08	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	31.0	15.5	31.4	2.4	35.8	140.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +34.9%

ATL +16.7%

ATL +7.6%

DET -11.6%

ATL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	17.6	16.3	15.5	108.2	110.6	101.6
season	16.8	15.1		101.7	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.1	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.4	19.2	16.4	17.1	17.6
ATL	14.5	13.5	17.1	20.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	44	41	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.23	8	-10	18	16.0	19.3	-3.31	16.6	16.0	0.59
Ben Wallace	62	63	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.36	12	-14	26	18.4	15.4	2.96	17.3	13.5	3.88
Chauncey Billups	38	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.10	-2	0	-2	17.7	17.4	0.33	15.5	17.0	-1.44
Jon Barry	26	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	0	-2	19.0	16.9	2.14	15.2	16.9	-1.72
Zeljko Rebraca	41	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	8	-18	18.2	17.0	1.19	15.0	17.5	-2.47
Richard Hamilton	59	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.39	1	-3	4	16.9	19.0	-2.14	16.3	16.3	-0.02
Chucky Atkins	47	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-2	2	17.4	17.7	-0.33	16.6	15.9	0.67
Corliss Williamson	42	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	9	-20	18.8	16.3	2.48	16.8	15.9	0.95
Clifford Robinson	66	65	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.44	-7	5	-12	16.7	20.6	-3.90	16.4	16.0	0.37

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	75	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-6	14	16.5	14.7	1.85	18.1	12.2	5.85
Glenn Robinson	70	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	1	0	16.5	15.7	0.72	17.3	18.6	-1.32
Dion Glover	37	36	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-9	20	13.7	18.4	-4.65	18.4	16.9	1.55
Matt Maloney	17	17	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	-5	12	16.3	16.3	-0.04	17.8	17.5	0.34
Theo Ratliff	62	62	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.37	-5	7	-12	17.1	14.1	3.01	17.0	19.1	-2.16
Alan Henderson	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	0	2	14.7	17.3	-2.53	17.4	17.7	-0.31
Ira Newble	49	49	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.43	-10	12	-22	18.0	14.1	3.90	16.9	18.4	-1.55
Jason Terry	67	68	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	6	-10	16.6	15.4	1.19	17.5	17.8	-0.34
Darvin Ham	16	16	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	2	-2	14.7	16.7	-1.95	18.6	17.3	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.89,0.89,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.99,1	93.4%
CHI 71, MEM 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.0%
MIN 100, PHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.72,0.86,0.96,1	92.8%