NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	6.5 [512]		MVP	Elton Brand (PHI): +18.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	111		Comeback	2.2 [1002]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): -16.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lazar Hayward	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.01	10	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	8	80%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Randolph	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	15	45%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.02	17	60%	0.10	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Wayne Ellington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	13	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	67%	0.03	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	11	36%	-0.01	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.10	0.02	16	60%	0.19	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	13	69%	0.19	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.08	0.00	13	62%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.05	-0.01	8	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.04	7	67%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	55%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	12	35%	-0.06	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.0	27.3	16.5	23.5	2.5	30.5	125.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.3%

PHI +2.3%

MIN -5.0%

PHI +20.6%

MIN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.4	14.8	15.5	105.3	115.6	105.7
season	14.3	15.5		102.7	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.4	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.6	17.3	16.6	15.2	15.4
PHI	16.2	14.0	12.2	16.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	28	29	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-17	23	15.2	15.5	-0.26	15.0	14.7	0.34
Anthony Tolliver	28	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-6	1	17.0	14.7	2.27	15.0	14.7	0.30
Jonny Flynn	30	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-6	1	16.8	14.7	2.09	15.6	14.4	1.21
Wayne Ellington	69	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-4	-3	14.9	16.7	-1.73	14.7	14.8	-0.05
Lazar Hayward	46	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-8	5	15.1	15.7	-0.61	14.6	14.9	-0.31
Luke Ridnour	65	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-5	-1	14.7	16.8	-2.09	14.4	15.6	-1.21
Kevin Love	79	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-4	-3	15.2	16.6	-1.47	15.0	13.7	1.21
Michael Beasley	75	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.11	-12	1	-13	16.0	13.0	2.98	14.9	14.3	0.55
Anthony Randolph	55	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.07	-16	5	-21	15.0	15.9	-0.86	14.2	15.4	-1.23

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	76	75	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-6	23	14.7	14.9	-0.24	15.4	15.3	0.13
Thaddeus Young	64	64	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	-3	17	15.4	13.5	1.94	15.4	15.5	-0.08
Jrue Holiday	77	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	0	11	14.8	14.6	0.16	15.3	15.6	-0.32
Elton Brand	70	69	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	2	7	15.6	12.4	3.26	15.8	14.3	1.56
Jodie Meeks	62	62	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.13	5	6	-1	14.0	16.1	-2.01	15.1	16.0	-0.97
Marreese Speights	32	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	5	1	12.7	15.8	-3.16	14.4	15.9	-1.54
Evan Turner	31	32	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	9	-7	15.7	14.3	1.40	15.8	15.2	0.62
Lou Williams	42	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	13	-15	15.1	14.5	0.68	15.7	15.2	0.45
Spencer Hawes	26	24	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.09	-7	18	-25	13.4	15.3	-1.89	15.6	15.3	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.72,0.86,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 92, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.89,0.89,0.85,1	92.8%
DEN 91, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.84,0.91,0.9,1	92.5%
SAC 94, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.72,0.81,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.3%