NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	90		Excitement	7.6 [272]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +13.6%
Boston Celtics	89		Comeback	13.3 [82]		LVP	Ray Allen (BOS): -28.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.17,0.14	-0.09	0.22	-0.01	20	43%	0.23	4	-0.09	4	50%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.01	4	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.04	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	13	58%	0.07	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	70%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	9	48%	0.00	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	6	69%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	9	70%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	7	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.08
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.05	-0.14	0.00	16	58%	0.05	3	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.13	-0.00	11	58%	0.09	4	-0.23	4	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,-0.29	-0.29	-0.08	-0.21	0.00	10	30%	-0.27	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	4.0	32.1	19.8	27.7	2.8	34.5	148.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +39.6%

BOS -8.7%

BOS -3.6%

LAL +24.9%

BOS -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.4	16.1	15.3	103.4	98.9	106.0
season	15.7	15.5		107.9	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		102.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	16.8	18.6	16.4	16.4
BOS	16.0	16.7	13.5	18.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	82	84	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.42	6	-5	11	16.5	14.2	2.35	15.9	19.7	-3.79
Derek Fisher	56	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-3	7	16.7	15.9	0.84	14.9	18.5	-3.59
Andrew Bynum	60	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	-8	17	17.3	14.5	2.75	15.3	18.1	-2.83
Metta World Peace	54	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.58	-7	8	-15	18.3	13.4	4.87	15.1	17.9	-2.80
Pau Gasol	75	78	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	2	-3	16.3	17.3	-1.07	15.8	18.6	-2.83
Sasha Vujacic	12	11	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	-10	21	13.5	16.9	-3.38	18.8	15.8	3.06
Lamar Odom	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.36	-6	7	-13	15.4	17.2	-1.87	18.3	14.5	3.75
Shannon Brown	26	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	2	-3	15.3	16.9	-1.58	18.1	15.3	2.79
Luke Walton	5	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	6	-11	14.2	16.5	-2.35	19.7	15.9	3.79
Jordan Farmar	26	26	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	6	-11	14.4	17.3	-2.89	18.0	15.4	2.68

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	27	27	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.08	10	-11	21	17.3	15.6	1.71	14.4	17.3	-2.86
Tony Allen	47	47	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-5	9	17.3	14.9	2.35	14.9	18.2	-3.40
Kendrick Perkins	58	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-4	7	14.8	18.5	-3.62	18.2	13.6	4.69
Rajon Rondo	70	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-1	1	15.8	17.3	-1.56	17.8	11.9	5.94
Rasheed Wallace	38	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.17	-2	1	-3	17.4	15.2	2.23	14.4	18.0	-3.63
Eddie House	29	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-3	5	18.1	15.2	2.91	12.8	18.2	-5.38
Paul Pierce	60	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.53	7	-8	15	14.9	18.6	-3.70	17.8	13.6	4.19
Ray Allen	64	61	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.37	-16	15	-31	16.0	16.6	-0.62	16.4	16.3	0.10
Kevin Garnett	57	55	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.46	-13	12	-25	16.0	16.3	-0.32	17.0	15.3	1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 90, LAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.91,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.72,0	90.2%
PHI 96, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.84,0	89.3%
TOR 103, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.72,0.55,0.84,0	89.2%