NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	6.8 [460]		MVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL): +36.0%
Atlanta Hawks	112		Comeback	1.4 [703]		LVP	Sam Merrill (CLE): -20.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Porter Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.00	8	76%	0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	11	67%	0.17	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Georges Niang	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	8	81%	0.14	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	47%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Darius Garland	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.02	14	48%	0.01	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.06	0.05	13	61%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Caris LeVert	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	17	36%	-0.02	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Merrill	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.07	0.02	9	5%	-0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.11	0.22	-0.03	15	68%	0.38	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	14	68%	0.19	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	12	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vit Krejci	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	21	39%	-0.07	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	27.4	14.7	29.0	2.6	23.6	123.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +46.6%

ATL +2.4%

CLE -11.9%

ATL +12.7%

ATL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.6	14.5	104.1	117.9	113.9
season	14.7	14.2		112.9	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.7		118.0	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.8	15.2	12.4	15.2	14.4
ATL	15.8	13.6	16.9	16.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Porter Jr.	30	28	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-11	11	14.9	14.2	0.72	16.6	15.2	1.46
Dean Wade	61	60	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-12	13	14.9	13.6	1.35	15.4	15.9	-0.44
Sam Merrill	39	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-7	3	14.0	14.7	-0.72	15.2	15.8	-0.58
Jarrett Allen	75	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-10	9	13.8	16.5	-2.71	15.7	15.3	0.33
Caris LeVert	72	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-9	7	13.9	16.0	-2.10	15.9	14.7	1.15
Damian Jones	22	20	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-1	-9	16.5	13.8	2.71	15.3	15.7	-0.33
Darius Garland	64	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	0	-11	14.3	14.5	-0.17	15.2	16.5	-1.25
Georges Niang	52	51	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.11	-16	5	-21	14.6	14.1	0.50	15.6	15.6	-0.01
Isaac Okoro	70	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.24	-12	1	-13	14.4	14.3	0.10	15.6	15.7	-0.06

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dejounte Murray	78	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-1	13	15.3	16.9	-1.62	14.4	14.2	0.24
Bogdan Bogdanovic	65	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-1	13	15.8	15.3	0.50	14.6	13.9	0.71
Garrison Mathews	36	33	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.26	2	9	-7	15.2	15.8	-0.63	14.0	14.6	-0.66
Jalen Johnson	39	39	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	-1	13	15.5	15.7	-0.25	15.2	13.9	1.34
Bruno Fernando	50	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	6	-1	15.4	15.8	-0.36	14.5	14.3	0.10
Clint Capela	45	46	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	5	1	15.8	15.4	0.36	14.3	14.5	-0.10
Saddiq Bey	80	82	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.17	1	10	-9	15.7	14.9	0.88	14.3	15.0	-0.71
De'Andre Hunter	50	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	7	-3	16.0	15.2	0.78	13.5	15.3	-1.78
Trent Forrest	25	28	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	8	-5	16.2	15.4	0.80	15.4	14.0	1.44
Vit Krejci	7	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	13	-15	13.9	15.7	-1.89	13.0	14.5	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.71,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.87,0.75,0.89,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 117, OKC 120	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.78,0.77,0.85,1	92.0%
CHI 102, PHX 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	91.8%
LAL 92, SEA 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.7,0.61,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.99,1,1	91.6%