NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	117		Excitement	9.3 [116]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +66.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	120		Comeback	2.1 [848]		LVP	Isaiah Taylor (ATL): -11.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.50	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.5	0.19	0.32	0.01	10	92%	0.53	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.11
Malcolm Delaney	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.17	0.08	0.01	10	91%	0.26	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Collins	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.18	0.09	0.10	0.00	8	80%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Kent Bazemore	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.1,0.1	-0.02	0.12	-0.00	6	79%	0.24	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.05	0.14	-0.07	0.01	18	71%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Cavanaugh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.01	11	35%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	12	27%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.24,0.33,0.67	0.67	0.17	0.49	0.00	17	77%	0.75	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.07
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.23,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	19	60%	0.24	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	9	67%	0.17	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	-0.00	4	80%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.06
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	0%	-0.07
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.07	5	-0.15	10	70%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	29.1	9.0	31.1	1.7	37.8	134.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +27.5%

ATL -2.5%

OKC +31.4%

ATL -7.4%

OKC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	OKC	NBA	ATL	OKC	NBA
this game	14.3	15.2	14.7	120.6	123.7	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		104.2	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.4		106.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.2	15.7	13.0	14.2	14.3
OKC	14.9	12.6	17.0	16.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	40	42	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.11	5	-8	13	14.1	14.4	-0.27	14.0	16.1	-2.16
Isaiah Taylor	36	35	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-1	-1	13.4	14.8	-1.42	14.6	15.5	-0.94
Malcolm Delaney	56	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.28	8	-11	19	13.0	16.0	-3.01	15.7	14.5	1.11
Marco Belinelli	63	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-5	7	15.3	12.4	2.88	16.1	13.5	2.55
DeAndre' Bembry	15	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	3	-9	12.8	14.6	-1.79	15.0	15.2	-0.21
Tyler Cavanaugh	39	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	2	-7	14.9	13.9	1.03	14.1	15.9	-1.79
John Collins	54	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	1	-5	14.3	14.4	-0.11	16.1	14.1	1.99
Kent Bazemore	54	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.32	-3	0	-3	14.0	14.7	-0.66	15.1	15.2	-0.12
Ersan Ilyasova	60	62	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-1	-1	14.1	14.6	-0.42	15.9	13.9	2.02
Taurean Prince	68	67	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.55	-8	5	-13	15.4	11.8	3.59	14.3	17.1	-2.74

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	70	70	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.53	6	-3	9	15.4	14.5	0.96	14.6	13.4	1.20
Paul George	79	80	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.30	11	-8	19	14.9	16.3	-1.35	15.0	10.8	4.23
Carmelo Anthony	69	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.49	0	3	-3	15.6	14.2	1.40	14.6	13.7	0.93
Alex Abrines	8	9	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	3	-3	15.1	15.2	-0.05	8.3	14.9	-6.59
Steven Adams	67	67	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.51	-8	11	-19	16.0	13.2	2.81	13.8	15.5	-1.68
Patrick Patterson	30	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	-8	19	13.2	16.0	-2.81	15.7	13.7	1.97
Josh Huestis	50	49	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	5	-7	15.9	14.4	1.45	13.4	15.2	-1.74
Jerami Grant	28	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	0	3	14.2	15.6	-1.40	13.7	14.6	-0.93
Andre Roberson	57	57	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	6	-9	14.9	15.5	-0.64	14.9	13.5	1.33
Raymond Felton	27	27	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.12	-3	6	-9	14.5	15.4	-0.96	13.4	14.6	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.78,0.77,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 103, NJN 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.68,0.96,1	92.4%
CLE 81, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.79,0.65,0.78,0.83,0.97,1,1,1	92.0%
BOS 112, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.97,0.91,1	91.6%