inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 109 Excitement10.1 [67] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +35.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder 111 Comeback8.9 [282] LVPMalcolm Brogdon (POR): -37.0%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anfernee Simons0.230,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.05,-0.07,0.230.010.230.001261%0.354-0.11475%-0.05
Matisse Thybulle0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.06-0.00667%0.1100.0000%0.00
Duop Reath0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.040.01583%0.142-0.062100%0.01
Jerami Grant0.070,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.12-0.030.011075%0.111-0.03450%-0.03
Jabari Walker0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.02-0.021450%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Scoot Henderson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.03-0.001849%0.051-0.053100%0.02
Toumani Camara-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Deandre Ayton-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.02731%-0.053-0.07250%-0.01
Malcolm Brogdon-0.370,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.37-0.06-0.310.001260%-0.017-0.366100%0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.360.360.030.28-0.052451%0.453-0.101776%0.30
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.090.10-0.01881%0.201-0.0200%0.00
Jalen Williams0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,0.170.170.030.170.022047%0.1700.0000%0.00
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.060.00590%0.1400.0000%0.00
Jaylin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01564%0.0400.0010%-0.01
Josh Giddey0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00650%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02275%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Keyontae Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.00550%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Chet Holmgren0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00650%0.011-0.02450%-0.01
Davis Bertans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Vasilije Micic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.00125%-0.031-0.02250%-0.03
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.07-0.07-0.01643%-0.073-0.06250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.727.514.727.32.431.4131.2
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +1.1%
OKC +23.1%
POR -19.8%
OKC +44.9%
OKC +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPOROKCNBAPOROKCNBA
this game14.913.314.5106.9108.8113.9
season14.813.8106.9117.5
opponent14.714.5109.7116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR14.413.515.816.314.9
OKC11.415.311.915.013.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Scoot Henderson54540.38-0.881.25-0.1217-193614.315.6-1.3514.512.02.50
Matisse Thybulle45460.02-0.520.55-0.218-101814.315.5-1.1912.913.6-0.71
Toumani Camara32310.02-0.520.53-0.135-71215.014.90.0512.413.7-1.27
Duop Reath4446-0.08-0.420.33-0.297-91615.014.90.0413.213.4-0.12
Jerami Grant6361-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.19-86-1415.214.50.6413.313.4-0.10
Deandre Ayton5755-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.18-97-1615.114.70.4313.413.10.29
Jabari Walker7172-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.29-75-1214.715.4-0.6113.612.51.09
Malcolm Brogdon7677-0.690.19-0.87-0.45-86-1414.815.4-0.6113.114.1-1.03
Anfernee Simons6868-0.790.29-1.09-0.35-1513-2815.813.12.6813.014.0-1.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander74750.77-0.271.050.2717-153212.515.5-3.0315.114.60.51
Chet Holmgren69680.75-0.251.000.528-61413.612.80.7615.713.42.32
Jalen Williams69670.75-0.251.000.528-61413.612.80.7615.513.91.59
Luguentz Dort49480.72-0.220.930.2815-132813.413.20.2015.614.41.19
Isaiah Joe43430.410.090.320.323-1412.513.9-1.3714.515.3-0.77
Aaron Wiggins38380.030.47-0.440.09-24-613.113.4-0.3214.315.3-1.02
Cason Wallace28270.010.49-0.480.13-46-1012.513.6-1.0614.715.0-0.36
Jaylin Williams3232-0.020.52-0.54-0.0202-213.213.4-0.2213.715.5-1.81
Davis Bertans67-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-35-812.713.3-0.6812.915.1-2.23
Josh Giddey5153-0.110.61-0.73-0.06-24-613.613.00.6115.014.90.10
Keyontae Johnson910-0.140.64-0.79-0.03-46-1013.913.20.6413.315.1-1.81
Vasilije Micic1414-0.180.68-0.860.05-810-1815.513.02.5515.314.90.41
Kenrich Williams2828-0.390.89-1.280.14-1820-3814.812.72.0914.415.1-0.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.23,0.33,0.38,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 87, TOR 920.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.58,191.3%
TOR 109, BKN 1140.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.42,191.1%
SAC 106, MEM 1070.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.85,189.7%