NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	106		Excitement	9.6 [93]		MVP	Louis King (SAC): +19.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	107		Comeback	4.2 [354]		LVP	Terence Davis (SAC): -39.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Louis King	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.2	0.18	0.01	-0.00	16	73%	0.24	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Damian Jones	0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.05	0.04	7	85%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.02
Chimezie Metu	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	10	68%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahmi'us Ramsey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	12	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Robert Woodard II	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Justin James	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.05,-0.16,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	13	47%	-0.06	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.00
Terence Davis	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.39	-0.17	-0.23	-0.01	18	20%	-0.39	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	0.00	7	83%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Killian Tillie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.01	13	53%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Jontay Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.00	3	87%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.03	8	80%	0.20	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Desmond Bane	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	10	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18	-0.18	0.04	-0.18	0.05	19	57%	-0.03	3	-0.16	6	50%	-0.17
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.17,-0.25,-0.26	-0.26	-0.17	-0.10	-0.01	11	14%	-0.21	1	-0.05	6	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	23.6	15.4	24.4	2.3	37.9	133.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +65.2%

SAC -15.3%

MEM +8.2%

SAC -15.8%

MEM +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	14.7	13.0	14.4	101.0	103.9	111.3
season	14.0	14.0		112.2	111.2
opponent	14.5	14.4		110.4	115.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.3	15.4	15.7	12.8	14.7
MEM	11.8	13.4	14.3	12.4	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delon Wright	51	50	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-2	3	15.5	14.0	1.57	12.6	13.3	-0.64
Robert Woodard II	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-1	1	15.3	14.6	0.69	12.2	13.1	-0.89
Chimezie Metu	47	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	1	-3	15.8	13.8	2.00	12.3	13.4	-1.09
Buddy Hield	60	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	2	-5	15.7	13.4	2.28	13.0	12.9	0.15
Maurice Harkless	19	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	7	-15	15.2	14.6	0.59	11.7	13.2	-1.49
Louis King	75	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.47	10	-11	21	14.5	15.4	-0.95	13.1	12.7	0.37
Damian Jones	79	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-1	1	13.9	17.1	-3.13	13.0	12.9	0.04
Jahmi'us Ramsey	66	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.57	6	-7	13	14.3	15.5	-1.21	13.0	12.8	0.21
Justin James	56	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.55	2	-3	5	13.9	15.7	-1.82	13.3	12.5	0.77
Terence Davis	60	59	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.44	-11	10	-21	14.6	14.9	-0.37	13.6	12.1	1.54

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Killian Tillie	82	83	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.47	13	-12	25	12.5	14.6	-2.03	14.8	14.3	0.51
Jontay Porter	47	48	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.60	-1	2	-3	13.2	12.8	0.40	13.7	15.6	-1.83
Xavier Tillman	68	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	-2	5	12.3	14.1	-1.80	14.5	15.1	-0.63
Tim Frazier	53	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.58	-7	8	-15	13.0	12.9	0.18	13.5	16.1	-2.59
Justise Winslow	85	86	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	2	-3	12.9	13.4	-0.53	14.2	17.2	-2.97
Tyus Jones	50	50	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.11	8	-7	15	12.9	13.0	-0.18	16.1	13.5	2.59
John Konchar	45	45	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	5	-9	14.2	12.0	2.14	15.6	14.1	1.49
De'Anthony Melton	41	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	1	-1	13.2	12.8	0.45	16.6	13.4	3.21
Desmond Bane	44	44	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	7	-13	13.1	12.8	0.32	14.2	15.1	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 107, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.93,0.96,1	91.4%
SAS 88, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.84,0.85,1	91.3%
POR 82, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.3,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.58,0.74,0.54,0.73,0.62,0.64,0.85,0.91,1	91.1%