NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	107		Excitement	7.9 [234]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +19.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	112		Comeback	6.7 [350]		LVP	Eric Williams (BOS): -9.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	19	71%	0.21	3	-0.09	21	62%	-0.09
Bryant Stith	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	20	55%	0.14	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	7	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.08
Eric Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	8	52%	-0.05	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.13	-0.01	16	63%	0.28	2	-0.09	9	89%	0.03
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.09	-0.02	3	50%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.07
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	16	61%	0.17	4	-0.11	14	71%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	12	57%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	17	58%	0.13	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	11	36%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	35.5	16.4	25.5	2.4	40.6	149.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +11.7%

LAL +18.4%

LAL +21.9%

LAL +0.6%

BOS -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	15.5	111.5	114.3	100.9
season	15.1	15.6		99.7	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.4		101.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.3	13.3	15.0	15.5	14.5
LAL	15.1	14.3	15.0	16.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	28	28	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.07	8	-13	21	12.9	15.1	-2.24	14.5	15.5	-0.94
Randy Brown	47	47	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.15	-5	0	-5	13.8	15.1	-1.27	16.1	14.3	1.82
Bryant Stith	56	58	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-6	7	14.4	14.5	-0.12	15.3	15.1	0.18
Eric Williams	61	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.40	9	-14	23	14.5	14.5	-0.06	15.3	15.0	0.27
Mark Blount	26	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-3	1	16.6	13.7	2.93	16.4	14.8	1.66
Vitaly Potapenko	46	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	3	-11	14.4	14.5	-0.09	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Milt Palacio	49	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.51	0	-5	5	15.1	13.8	1.27	14.3	16.1	-1.82
Antoine Walker	90	92	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.31	-9	4	-13	14.5	14.0	0.51	15.2	15.5	-0.32
Paul Pierce	77	79	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.29	-19	14	-33	14.4	14.9	-0.52	15.0	16.1	-1.12

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	75	74	1.06	-0.56	1.63	0.27	27	-22	49	14.8	16.5	-1.66	14.8	13.5	1.21
Shaquille O'Neal	90	89	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.44	14	-9	23	15.2	15.5	-0.32	14.7	11.6	3.14
Mark Madsen	28	26	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-3	11	13.6	15.9	-2.29	15.3	14.2	1.14
Rick Fox	74	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-5	15	15.8	13.3	2.53	15.0	13.0	2.03
Robert Horry	42	41	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.38	-5	10	-15	16.0	14.6	1.48	14.4	14.5	-0.16
Devean George	13	14	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	6	-7	15.2	15.2	-0.06	15.1	14.4	0.78
Horace Grant	68	67	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	7	-9	15.0	15.7	-0.76	13.9	15.8	-1.88
Brian Shaw	77	75	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.09	-4	9	-13	15.0	16.0	-1.01	13.9	16.7	-2.80
Tyronn Lue	23	22	-0.56	1.06	-1.63	0.08	-22	27	-49	16.5	14.8	1.66	13.5	14.8	-1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.93,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.84,0.85,1	90.7%
POR 82, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.3,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.58,0.74,0.54,0.73,0.62,0.64,0.85,0.91,1	90.5%
WAS 107, GSW 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.64,0.71,0.47,0.45,0.89,0.97,0.95,1	90.4%