inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 82 Excitement8.4 [223] MVPJusuf Nurkic (POR): +5.3%
Denver Nuggets 88 Comeback4.7 [420] LVPAl-Farouq Aminu (POR): -23.5%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.000.011561%0.172-0.12367%-0.04
Meyers Leonard0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pat Connaughton-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.0300%0.002-0.0100%0.00
Caleb Swanigan-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Damian Lillard-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05-0.030.010.022245%0.043-0.091164%-0.06
Ed Davis-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.0010%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Zach Collins-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.04-0.00437%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Shabazz Napier-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.06-0.001025%-0.1200.0000%0.00
CJ McCollum-0.150,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.07-0.11-0.021840%-0.102-0.054100%0.02
Evan Turner-0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.11-0.05-0.00922%-0.072-0.0900%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.14-0.10-0.001327%-0.163-0.0800%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.050.050.040.020.01955%0.0500.004100%0.01
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.00467%0.071-0.03450%-0.03
Will Barton0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.021561%0.133-0.10683%0.01
Wilson Chandler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.00-0.01850%0.0300.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.050.06-0.01928%0.0200.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.011447%0.092-0.104100%0.03
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.35,-0.35,-0.28,-0.2-0.20-0.10-0.090.011437%-0.133-0.07475%0.02
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.13-0.10-0.001025%-0.122-0.10450%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.31.729.514.629.10.144.2143.6
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +39.3%
DEN +1.2%
POR -1.9%
DEN +12.1%
POR -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORDENNBAPORDENNBA
this game15.814.114.785.490.7107.5
season15.214.7107.8111.2
opponent14.714.3109.9105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR14.614.318.416.015.8
DEN13.114.512.916.014.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caleb Swanigan12110.13-0.630.750.043-91218.915.33.6212.414.3-1.96
Pat Connaughton18180.12-0.620.730.033-91215.715.8-0.0315.113.91.17
Shabazz Napier33340.10-0.600.70-0.055-111615.615.8-0.2714.713.80.88
Meyers Leonard22-0.00-0.500.49-0.000-666.515.9-9.453.514.3-10.83
Zach Collins2827-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-7814.316.3-2.0214.713.90.88
Ed Davis2728-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-5416.515.51.0215.313.61.66
Al-Farouq Aminu6869-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.34-2-4215.616.1-0.5514.313.60.70
Evan Turner7677-0.500.00-0.50-0.30-71-815.616.5-0.9514.114.1-0.06
Damian Lillard8282-0.590.09-0.68-0.33-93-1215.716.1-0.3813.417.9-4.45
Jusuf Nurkic6161-0.620.12-0.74-0.30-115-1615.416.3-0.9314.014.4-0.41
CJ McCollum7376-0.660.16-0.82-0.31-126-1816.513.23.3314.213.80.37

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic72710.80-0.301.100.2718-123015.310.54.8317.112.05.02
Will Barton81770.78-0.281.060.3415-92413.517.3-3.8416.512.93.56
Wilson Chandler71710.54-0.040.580.318-21013.914.7-0.8015.416.8-1.47
Paul Millsap72720.300.200.100.2715-414.114.10.0315.416.8-1.39
Gary Harris36360.240.26-0.010.1342214.214.10.1015.415.9-0.53
Jamal Murray67680.100.40-0.290.16-28-1013.814.8-0.9615.217.1-1.92
Devin Harris2625-0.000.50-0.510.05-28-1015.713.52.1217.115.31.80
Mason Plumlee3939-0.040.54-0.590.04-39-1211.615.8-4.1614.416.7-2.26
Torrey Craig1313-0.090.59-0.680.06-511-1614.514.00.5015.015.9-0.87
Trey Lyles99-0.090.59-0.680.03-410-1417.713.73.9313.216.0-2.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.3,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.58,0.74,0.54,0.73,0.62,0.64,0.85,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 84, SAS 900.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.26,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.73,0.61,0.63,0.75,0.99,191.5%
CLE 76, MIA 800.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.23,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.91,190.9%
PHX 85, HOU 900.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.94,0.99,190.8%