NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	84		Excitement	8.0 [217]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +11.0%
San Antonio Spurs	90		Comeback	3.2 [241]		LVP	David Robinson (SAS): -33.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.00	0.11	-0.00	16	58%	0.20	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Charlie Ward	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.05	-0.00	4	40%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Charles Oakley	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Buck Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	24	46%	-0.01	1	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Chris Childs	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	7	39%	-0.04	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
John Starks	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.22,-0.24,-0.27	-0.10	-0.19	-0.02	15	38%	-0.21	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	15	61%	0.13	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.07	-0.04	5	56%	0.11	1	-0.04	8	50%	0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	44%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Elliott	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	62%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	17	46%	0.05	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.33,-0.33,-0.34	-0.34	-0.21	-0.17	-0.05	18	41%	-0.20	3	-0.13	20	55%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.8	27.2	16.6	25.2	2.5	34.5	135.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +30.6%

SAS +4.4%

SAS +16.1%

NYK -1.7%

SAS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	15.6	92.3	96.8	102.5
season	15.7	15.9		100.4	100.9
opponent	15.9	16.3		97.2	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.3	16.9	15.4	17.1	15.6
SAS	17.3	19.1	14.6	12.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	43	45	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.07	4	-10	14	14.9	16.3	-1.43	15.7	15.6	0.13
Chris Mills	52	52	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.03	2	-8	10	15.8	15.4	0.35	17.2	13.7	3.46
Chris Dudley	21	23	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-7	8	15.6	15.6	-0.02	16.1	15.5	0.56
Charles Oakley	66	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-8	10	15.4	16.3	-0.94	15.4	16.4	-0.95
Buck Williams	24	23	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	0	-6	16.0	15.5	0.44	16.3	15.5	0.79
Allan Houston	74	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.25	-9	3	-12	15.6	15.9	-0.30	15.0	18.8	-3.86
John Starks	56	58	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	-1	-4	15.6	15.7	-0.17	15.2	16.4	-1.18
Patrick Ewing	71	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.38	-9	3	-12	15.8	15.1	0.62	15.6	16.0	-0.37
Chris Childs	48	48	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.40	-10	4	-14	16.3	14.9	1.43	15.6	15.7	-0.13

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	75	75	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.29	16	-10	26	15.7	15.6	0.07	16.1	13.5	2.59
Monty Williams	53	51	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-4	14	13.9	18.0	-4.18	15.6	15.6	-0.02
Vinny Del Negro	70	70	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	-2	10	16.1	14.5	1.58	15.4	16.3	-0.84
David Robinson	75	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	1	4	15.3	17.4	-2.14	15.7	15.3	0.47
Avery Johnson	75	74	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	3	0	15.7	15.7	-0.07	15.4	16.9	-1.53
Cory Alexander	18	17	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	3	0	15.7	15.7	0.07	16.9	15.4	1.53
Malik Rose	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	17.6	15.5	2.09	13.6	15.8	-2.21
Jaren Jackson	23	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	8	-10	14.5	16.1	-1.58	16.3	15.4	0.84
Will Perdue	27	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	13	-20	16.1	15.5	0.68	14.7	16.0	-1.33
Sean Elliott	40	40	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	10	-14	18.0	13.9	4.18	15.6	15.6	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.26,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.73,0.61,0.63,0.75,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 92, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.66,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.92,1	93.2%
HOU 114, LAL 120	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.57,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.96,1	92.8%
ORL 98, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.84,1	92.5%