NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	114		Excitement	8.8 [171]		MVP	Jordan Clarkson (LAL): +46.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	120		Comeback	3.3 [173]		LVP	Tyler Ennis (HOU): -13.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
KJ McDaniels	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	5	110%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	19	63%	0.36	7	-0.23	16	94%	0.14
Ryan Anderson	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	15	47%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.03	0.00	11	70%	0.13	1	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Sam Dekker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Nene	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.07
Eric Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.08	-0.00	15	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.46,0.46	0.46	0.13	0.33	-0.00	12	81%	0.62	4	-0.16	7	100%	0.07
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.08	-0.01	5	71%	0.19	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0,0,0.03	0.03	0.11	-0.07	0.01	11	78%	0.17	2	-0.14	1	0%	-0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	9	39%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Marcelo Huertas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	10	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	12	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	0.04	-0.16	0.00	16	57%	0.01	3	-0.13	3	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.8	31.0	16.6	28.3	3.4	37.7	145.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +38.8%

HOU -3.3%

LAL +20.1%

HOU -4.8%

HOU -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	13.3	15.2	14.8	112.9	118.8	107.7
season	13.7	14.5		113.2	104.8
opponent	14.4	14.9		111.6	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.7	12.0	15.6	13.4	13.3
LAL	15.6	15.1	16.3	13.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
KJ McDaniels	24	26	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.09	1	-7	8	13.6	13.2	0.35	15.2	15.2	0.04
James Harden	76	77	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.24	10	-16	26	13.3	13.4	-0.11	15.6	14.0	1.57
Corey Brewer	32	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-3	0	12.7	13.6	-0.88	15.3	15.1	0.17
Clint Capela	56	54	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.28	8	-14	22	12.9	13.9	-1.03	15.4	15.0	0.37
Sam Dekker	28	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-2	-2	13.0	13.4	-0.44	15.2	15.2	0.07
Tyler Ennis	26	26	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	3	-12	13.6	13.2	0.35	14.7	15.4	-0.73
Ryan Anderson	73	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.41	-2	-4	2	13.4	13.0	0.44	15.3	14.8	0.52
Nene	45	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.05	-14	8	-22	13.9	12.9	1.03	15.3	15.1	0.12
Trevor Ariza	70	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-3	0	13.6	12.7	0.83	15.0	15.7	-0.74
Eric Gordon	75	74	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.36	-14	8	-22	13.2	13.7	-0.51	14.8	16.2	-1.40

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	32	32	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.06	17	-11	28	13.7	15.9	-2.17	13.3	13.3	-0.05
Jordan Clarkson	52	52	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.37	6	0	6	15.0	15.4	-0.49	13.1	13.6	-0.53
Luol Deng	61	61	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	5	-4	15.1	15.3	-0.25	13.1	13.7	-0.63
Larry Nance Jr.	48	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	-1	8	15.0	15.4	-0.38	13.7	13.0	0.73
Brandon Ingram	50	51	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	-4	14	15.0	15.4	-0.39	13.5	13.1	0.39
D'Angelo Russell	62	60	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.30	-5	11	-16	15.6	14.5	1.07	12.9	13.9	-0.94
Nick Young	56	56	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.32	-6	12	-18	15.2	15.2	0.08	13.2	13.4	-0.15
Marcelo Huertas	10	11	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	1	4	13.8	15.4	-1.55	13.5	13.3	0.15
Tarik Black	22	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	5	-4	15.7	15.1	0.62	13.6	13.2	0.32
Timofey Mozgov	46	46	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	3	0	15.6	14.9	0.71	13.7	13.0	0.78
Julius Randle	62	60	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.26	-8	14	-22	15.8	14.3	1.45	13.3	13.4	-0.12
Metta World Peace	4	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	7	-8	17.2	15.1	2.14	14.5	13.3	1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.57,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 84, SAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.26,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.73,0.61,0.63,0.75,0.99,1	92.8%
CLE 84, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.73,1	91.5%
DAL 85, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.45,0.76,0.9,1	91.3%