NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	131		Excitement	9.9 [80]		MVP	Jeremy Sochan (SAS): +67.5%
Washington Wizards	127		Comeback	54.9 [24]		LVP	Kyle Kuzma (WAS): -22.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Sochan	0.68	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.68	0.19	0.49	0.00	11	82%	0.68	0	0.00	6	100%	0.12
Tre Jones	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.16	0.02	0.15	0.01	9	52%	0.19	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.06
Victor Wembanyama	0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.04	0.14	-0.00	21	52%	0.27	6	-0.16	4	50%	-0.02
Keldon Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	15	51%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Blake Wesley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	79%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.06	-0.03	0.03	14	68%	0.11	4	-0.10	3	33%	-0.00
Malaki Branham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.00	11	70%	0.22	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	9	70%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.06
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.14	0.03	19	50%	0.17	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.10
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	10	59%	0.12	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	87%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	15	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.13	0.01	12	50%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.23	-0.23	-0.06	-0.19	-0.03	14	38%	-0.20	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	28.2	14.4	28.5	2.2	35.7	136.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +87.1%

SAS +3.0%

WAS -26.8%

WAS -14.0%

SAS +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	WAS	NBA	SAS	WAS	NBA
this game	13.3	13.4	14.5	121.3	117.6	113.9
season	13.9	13.7		108.6	109.8
opponent	14.1	14.3		118.7	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	12.5	13.7	13.0	14.0	13.3
WAS	11.9	16.3	11.4	14.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Vassell	75	77	1.17	-0.67	1.84	0.50	23	-19	42	12.4	15.3	-2.92	14.1	11.6	2.54
Jeremy Sochan	59	61	1.15	-0.65	1.81	0.36	27	-23	50	12.6	14.1	-1.51	15.1	11.2	3.93
Tre Jones	70	73	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.55	6	-2	8	13.0	13.8	-0.87	14.1	11.9	2.22
Keldon Johnson	68	66	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.51	5	-1	6	13.3	13.2	0.12	12.4	14.9	-2.52
Victor Wembanyama	60	63	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	0	4	13.3	13.3	0.01	14.4	11.9	2.53
Zach Collins	48	45	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	4	-4	13.3	13.3	-0.01	11.9	14.4	-2.53
Malaki Branham	12	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	4	-4	12.8	13.3	-0.50	10.1	13.8	-3.67
Blake Wesley	36	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.18	0	4	-4	14.0	12.9	1.04	12.1	13.9	-1.83
Julian Champagnie	48	49	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.05	-10	14	-24	13.4	13.1	0.29	14.0	12.9	1.04
Doug McDermott	21	21	-0.57	1.07	-1.65	-0.08	-17	21	-38	16.0	12.6	3.44	12.3	13.6	-1.31
Cedi Osman	43	41	-0.59	1.09	-1.67	-0.06	-18	22	-40	14.2	12.7	1.55	11.5	14.5	-2.99

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delon Wright	44	43	0.72	-1.22	1.93	0.25	16	-20	36	12.7	13.9	-1.19	15.1	12.0	3.09
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	27	29	0.63	-1.13	1.76	0.19	15	-19	34	10.4	14.4	-3.98	15.3	12.5	2.83
Corey Kispert	51	51	0.32	-0.82	1.13	0.11	7	-11	18	13.8	13.1	0.71	14.5	12.2	2.26
Bilal Coulibaly	51	53	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-7	10	12.3	14.4	-2.07	14.0	12.6	1.46
Deni Avdija	74	73	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.24	8	-12	20	13.2	13.8	-0.63	13.5	12.8	0.75
Landry Shamet	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-9	14	16.0	13.1	2.94	15.4	13.0	2.41
Jordan Poole	69	69	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.30	-15	11	-26	13.1	13.9	-0.88	12.0	15.5	-3.50
Tyus Jones	64	64	-1.00	0.50	-1.49	-0.47	-18	14	-32	13.9	12.7	1.19	12.1	15.0	-2.87
Marvin Bagley III	81	79	-1.13	0.63	-1.76	-0.57	-19	15	-34	14.4	10.4	3.98	12.5	15.3	-2.83
Kyle Kuzma	67	67	-1.24	0.74	-1.98	-0.59	-22	18	-40	14.0	12.4	1.65	12.4	14.8	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.52,0.43,0.57,0.8,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.57,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 89, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.74,0	90.0%
CLE 111, NJN 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.69,0.88,0.88,0.69,0.64,0.45,0.74,0	89.8%
ORL 105, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.72,0	88.2%