NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	116		Excitement	8.0 [266]		MVP	Bruce Brown (TOR): +26.4%
Toronto Raptors	110		Comeback	2.9 [413]		LVP	Gary Trent Jr. (TOR): -15.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Caruso	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.07	0.18	-0.01	6	83%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.06	0.09	0.00	19	56%	0.19	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Patrick Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	9	67%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.02	20	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	83%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.09,-0.01	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	20	51%	0.10	2	-0.11	7	86%	0.04
Zach LaVine	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dalen Terry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.14	-0.02	10	75%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.22,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	18	69%	0.45	6	-0.28	9	78%	-0.02
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	4	60%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jontay Porter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	6	71%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	16	46%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	0.01	10	55%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	8	37%	-0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.4	27.3	16.3	29.4	2.7	29.0	133.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +8.2%

TOR -0.8%

CHI +29.3%

CHI +13.2%

CHI +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	TOR	NBA	CHI	TOR	NBA
this game	15.1	14.4	14.5	118.4	113.4	113.9
season	14.5	14.0		113.4	111.3
opponent	14.7	15.0		117.6	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.1	14.4	15.7	15.2	15.1
TOR	14.9	15.0	13.1	14.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	69	69	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.29	23	-17	40	15.3	14.7	0.66	15.0	13.0	2.04
Nikola Vucevic	68	69	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.29	23	-17	40	15.4	14.4	0.99	15.0	13.0	2.04
Ayo Dosunmu	67	67	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-4	14	14.9	15.6	-0.72	14.0	15.3	-1.29
Alex Caruso	60	58	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.41	3	3	0	15.2	15.0	0.16	13.5	15.8	-2.27
DeMar DeRozan	78	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	0	6	15.2	14.8	0.34	14.6	13.7	0.90
Jevon Carter	6	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	10	-14	11.8	15.3	-3.50	14.8	14.4	0.45
Zach LaVine	48	47	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	10	-14	15.8	14.4	1.39	14.4	14.4	-0.06
Patrick Williams	47	46	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.07	-2	8	-10	14.6	15.6	-0.93	15.0	13.8	1.20
Andre Drummond	21	20	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.07	-12	18	-30	15.0	15.1	-0.10	13.1	14.8	-1.65
Dalen Terry	26	26	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.06	-13	19	-32	14.4	15.4	-0.95	13.7	14.7	-1.04

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Boucher	37	37	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.02	13	-19	32	14.6	14.3	0.29	14.2	15.7	-1.41
Dennis Schroder	55	54	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-10	14	14.0	15.0	-1.04	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Jontay Porter	43	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.24	7	-13	20	14.3	14.5	-0.24	15.0	15.2	-0.26
Bruce Brown	52	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.38	11	-17	28	14.1	14.8	-0.72	14.9	15.4	-0.51
Scottie Barnes	74	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-3	0	14.4	14.3	0.08	15.3	14.6	0.69
Thaddeus Young	27	27	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	13	-32	15.6	14.0	1.58	15.9	14.8	1.01
RJ Barrett	71	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-1	-4	14.3	14.7	-0.38	14.8	16.0	-1.18
Immanuel Quickley	69	69	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.32	-17	11	-28	14.5	14.2	0.23	15.6	13.9	1.69
Gary Trent Jr.	57	59	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.33	-21	15	-36	14.6	14.1	0.49	15.6	14.4	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.69,0.66,0.45,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 112, TOR 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.47,0.76,0.46,0.43,0.27,0	90.8%
SAC 116, LAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.4,0.38,0.55,0.67,0.08,0	90.7%
UTA 99, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.2,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.27,0	90.5%