NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	8.1 [218]		MVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): +18.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	95		Comeback	2.1 [319]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (SEA): -24.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Ostertag	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	7	86%	0.17	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Karl Malone	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.14	0.04	19	60%	0.20	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.02
Antoine Carr	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	8	68%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
Jeff Hornacek	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	8	70%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.07
Greg Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Chris Morris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	7	37%	-0.05	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.00	10	73%	0.18	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	3	83%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.06	-0.01	7	35%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.04
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.03	0.02	19	55%	0.15	7	-0.23	2	0%	-0.06
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.05,0.04,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	15	41%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.23	0.00	12	72%	0.07	6	-0.31	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	44.8	1.8	26.1	15.7	28.2	1.8	39.2	157.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +7.9%

UTA +34.5%

SEA -2.1%

UTA +10.2%

SEA -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	16.2	15.3	15.6	107.6	104.4	104.4
season	15.6	14.9		110.8	108.9
opponent	16.2	16.0		100.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.2	16.0	15.4	16.3	16.2
SEA	14.1	16.0	14.6	16.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	66	65	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.43	16	-12	28	14.8	19.7	-4.82	15.1	15.7	-0.53
Jeff Hornacek	71	69	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.53	12	-8	20	16.0	16.8	-0.73	14.4	17.9	-3.47
Karl Malone	79	77	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.37	13	-9	22	15.7	19.2	-3.44	15.1	16.2	-1.11
John Stockton	72	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-3	10	15.9	17.3	-1.47	15.3	15.0	0.29
Antoine Carr	27	27	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.52	-4	8	-12	17.7	15.6	2.13	15.1	15.3	-0.23
Greg Foster	3	4	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	3	-2	16.3	16.2	0.14	17.2	15.2	2.07
Greg Ostertag	63	61	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.14	4	0	4	15.8	17.1	-1.38	15.3	15.2	0.16
Howard Eisley	20	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	7	-10	17.3	15.9	1.47	15.0	15.3	-0.29
Stephen Howard	12	13	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	10	-16	18.2	15.9	2.36	15.8	15.2	0.58
Chris Morris	26	26	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.05	-12	16	-28	19.7	14.8	4.82	15.7	15.1	0.53

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wingate	23	24	0.34	-0.84	1.19	-0.04	13	-17	30	16.0	15.0	1.03	19.4	15.1	4.30
Terry Cummings	24	24	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.01	10	-14	24	17.5	14.5	3.08	16.9	15.9	0.98
Eric Snow	7	7	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-6	8	20.0	14.9	5.12	14.1	16.4	-2.22
Craig Ehlo	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-4	4	18.0	14.9	3.06	14.3	16.5	-2.18
Sam Perkins	53	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.48	7	-11	18	15.1	15.5	-0.43	16.9	15.3	1.59
Jim McIlvaine	27	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	10	-24	14.2	15.7	-1.50	15.7	16.4	-0.75
Gary Payton	84	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	2	-8	14.9	20.0	-5.12	16.4	14.1	2.22
Detlef Schrempf	76	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	3	-10	14.8	17.7	-2.94	16.5	14.7	1.75
Shawn Kemp	78	79	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.37	-11	7	-18	15.1	16.5	-1.47	15.7	19.2	-3.44
Hersey Hawkins	73	72	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.33	-14	10	-24	15.2	15.7	-0.56	15.1	20.0	-4.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.2,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 104, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.42,0	92.3%
ATL 114, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.26,0	92.0%
TOR 97, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.33,0.26,0	91.4%