inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 112 Excitement9.1 [128] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +68.9%
Toronto Raptors 109 Comeback3.1 [567] LVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): -18.6%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.690,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.31,0.5,0.4,0.690.290.430.032477%0.753-0.06978%0.12
Klay Thompson0.190,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.190.150.03-0.001572%0.252-0.066100%0.06
Draymond Green0.110,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.110.010.09-0.001248%0.141-0.03967%0.00
Brandon Rush0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.01275%0.0500.0000%0.00
Ian Clark0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00450%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Festus Ezeli-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00544%-0.0000.00850%-0.07
Andre Iguodala-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Leandro Barbosa-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.030.00367%0.021-0.0500%0.00
James Michael McAdoo-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Marreese Speights-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.00442%-0.024-0.11475%-0.02

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.440.440.270.180.022668%0.491-0.05887%-0.07
Lucas Nogueira0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.060.00978%0.201-0.0600%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.090.09-0.010.09-0.01942%0.0900.006100%0.09
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.00383%0.0500.0000%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.03
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.020.011045%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.011041%-0.001-0.05250%-0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.16,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.13-0.08-0.021935%-0.142-0.05875%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.528.415.529.32.447.2149.5
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +27.3%
GSW +25.4%
GSW +11.3%
TOR -13.3%
TOR -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWTORNBAGSWTORNBA
this game13.817.314.9121.7117.2105.1
season13.716.1112.3107.2
opponent14.815.1104.6102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW11.016.017.411.813.8
TOR18.218.316.915.817.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Curry74730.86-0.361.210.4215-122713.714.3-0.6216.918.6-1.75
Klay Thompson72700.82-0.321.140.4712-92113.216.1-2.8917.018.1-1.07
Draymond Green76760.79-0.291.070.4611-81913.515.3-1.7916.918.8-1.82
Festus Ezeli52510.410.090.32-0.0315-122714.313.30.9917.117.5-0.45
Shaun Livingston52520.280.220.060.60-1114-2513.614.1-0.5516.917.7-0.77
Andre Iguodala52550.180.32-0.130.36-69-1514.413.11.3017.517.00.47
Brandon Rush28280.120.38-0.25-0.118-51312.414.5-2.0217.917.00.88
Ian Clark9100.020.48-0.460.05-14-514.213.80.4317.217.3-0.09
James Michael McAdoo67-0.240.74-0.98-0.09-58-1315.713.71.9616.917.3-0.46
Marreese Speights1921-0.370.87-1.24-0.02-1215-2716.913.03.8519.116.72.41
Leandro Barbosa2022-0.370.87-1.24-0.05-1114-2514.113.80.3418.916.82.13

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luis Scola41420.36-0.861.230.138-111917.417.20.1513.114.5-1.41
Terrence Ross22200.07-0.570.64-0.054-71118.516.91.6616.213.23.08
James Johnson1211-0.09-0.410.32-0.06-1-2116.117.5-1.3713.113.9-0.85
Kyle Lowry7678-0.22-0.280.06-0.458-111917.416.80.6313.317.0-3.73
Bismack Biyombo3029-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-1411-2517.817.00.7211.914.7-2.88
Lucas Nogueira4644-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.361-4517.716.90.7815.012.82.14
Cory Joseph5856-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.462-5717.117.5-0.3813.614.2-0.68
Patrick Patterson5857-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.501-4517.317.20.1315.311.53.79
DeMarre Carroll5152-0.570.07-0.63-0.16-1411-2516.817.9-1.1413.314.5-1.22
DeMar DeRozan7171-0.570.07-0.65-0.28-107-1716.918.5-1.6013.913.60.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.47,0.76,0.46,0.43,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 103, MEM 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.04,089.9%
SEA 108, DEN 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.19,0.27,0.18,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.42,089.9%
HOU 98, NJN 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.47,089.8%