NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	8.6 [165]		MVP	Keyon Dooling (NJN): +16.4%
New Jersey Nets	93		Comeback	1.7 [834]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): -25.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,0.16	0.04	0.13	0.00	13	52%	0.20	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
David Andersen	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0,0.06,0.11,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	14	67%	0.36	4	-0.31	11	73%	0.04
Charles Hayes	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Luis Scola	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	16	47%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jermaine Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	17	36%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.08	-0.17	0.00	9	29%	-0.22	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.28,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.14	-0.01	12	44%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	11	65%	0.11	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.09,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	-0.00	13	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	22	43%	-0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.0	30.1	15.5	24.2	2.5	36.2	134.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -18.4%

HOU +21.9%

HOU +65.0%

NJN -24.9%

HOU +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NJN	NBA	HOU	NJN	NBA
this game	16.8	15.4	15.3	110.1	103.3	106.0
season	15.0	15.9		106.0	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.3	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.2	14.9	15.0	19.7	16.8
NJN	17.0	15.1	15.7	13.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	67	68	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-7	19	17.2	15.5	1.78	15.2	15.9	-0.63
Trevor Ariza	79	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-4	13	17.1	14.8	2.25	15.4	15.3	0.10
Aaron Brooks	67	67	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	-1	7	16.5	17.6	-1.05	15.6	14.8	0.81
Luis Scola	59	58	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.34	3	2	1	17.1	16.2	0.85	15.8	14.6	1.23
Carl Landry	59	59	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.41	-3	8	-11	16.9	16.6	0.25	14.7	16.6	-1.87
Charles Hayes	30	31	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	-3	11	16.6	16.9	-0.25	16.6	14.7	1.87
David Andersen	29	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	4	-3	16.7	16.8	-0.16	15.3	15.4	-0.18
Jermaine Taylor	10	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	9	-13	14.8	17.1	-2.25	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Kyle Lowry	45	47	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.03	-7	12	-19	16.2	17.4	-1.16	14.9	16.0	-1.13

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	39	39	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.20	10	-15	25	15.9	15.0	0.90	16.2	17.3	-1.15
Keyon Dooling	53	52	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.26	11	-16	27	14.7	16.4	-1.68	17.1	16.4	0.63
Tony Battie	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-7	9	15.0	15.4	-0.43	14.0	17.1	-3.07
Trenton Hassell	27	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	1	-7	16.4	15.0	1.46	16.6	16.9	-0.31
Terrence Williams	37	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-1	-3	16.2	14.8	1.36	15.7	17.6	-1.88
Yi Jianlian	67	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	2	-9	15.4	15.4	-0.00	16.9	16.5	0.39
Courtney Lee	78	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.35	-6	1	-7	15.3	15.7	-0.42	16.5	19.0	-2.51
Devin Harris	75	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	5	-15	15.2	16.5	-1.29	17.6	13.4	4.19
Brook Lopez	66	67	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.32	-15	10	-25	15.1	16.1	-0.95	17.4	15.0	2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.47,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.65,0.67,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.15,0.43,0.41,0	92.4%
NJN 99, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.17,0	91.1%
DEN 124, GSW 120	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.07,0.22,0.28,0	91.1%