NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	124		Excitement	8.8 [127]		MVP	Allen Iverson (DEN): +29.5%
Golden State Warriors	120		Comeback	1.4 [379]		LVP	Al Harrington (GSW): -8.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.30	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.24,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3	0.17	0.15	0.02	21	68%	0.45	4	-0.15	15	87%	0.06
Linas Kleiza	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.11	-0.00	7	68%	0.22	0	0.00	8	100%	0.06
Marcus Camby	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.04	10	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,-0.02,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	22	58%	0.16	5	-0.15	8	100%	0.05
Anthony Carter	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.01	0.02	17	71%	0.33	2	-0.17	7	57%	-0.02
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	10	70%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.08	0.01	27	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	90%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.10	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	16	35%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	15	38%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	2.4	24.8	15.6	23.2	2.5	33.6	132.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +12.1%

DEN +38.0%

DEN +17.7%

GSW -17.5%

GSW -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	GSW	NBA	DEN	GSW	NBA
this game	13.4	14.6	15.4	119.2	117.6	105.7
season	13.3	13.5		108.2	109.8
opponent	15.1	15.2		107.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	11.0	13.5	14.6	14.9	13.4
GSW	13.8	14.8	14.8	15.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	81	81	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.42	6	-2	8	13.2	14.2	-1.01	14.6	14.5	0.08
Anthony Carter	60	60	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	-4	12	12.1	15.1	-3.00	14.7	14.5	0.23
Allen Iverson	98	96	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	2	0	13.4	12.8	0.59	14.6	14.0	0.63
Carmelo Anthony	73	72	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	0	4	12.5	15.4	-2.81	14.2	15.4	-1.15
Eduardo Najera	56	56	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	-2	8	13.1	13.7	-0.60	14.8	14.3	0.44
Nene	39	37	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.29	-2	6	-8	14.3	12.8	1.44	14.7	14.5	0.14
Linas Kleiza	52	50	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	4	-4	14.0	12.8	1.23	14.7	14.5	0.22
Chucky Atkins	44	42	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.16	-4	8	-12	15.1	12.1	3.00	14.5	14.7	-0.23
J.R. Smith	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	4	-4	14.8	13.1	1.72	14.6	14.6	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	31	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-5	6	14.2	14.8	-0.57	12.2	14.0	-1.81
Matt Barnes	53	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	2	-8	14.5	14.6	-0.09	13.3	13.5	-0.15
Kelenna Azubuike	36	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-6	8	14.8	14.5	0.29	14.3	12.8	1.51
Baron Davis	81	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.37	2	-6	8	14.7	14.1	0.56	13.9	11.4	2.56
Al Harrington	65	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-7	10	14.5	14.7	-0.14	13.2	13.7	-0.49
Andris Biedrins	60	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	2	-8	14.5	14.7	-0.25	13.9	12.7	1.13
Stephen Jackson	99	101	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	2	-8	14.7	9.3	5.41	13.4	13.3	0.05
Monta Ellis	85	86	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	6	-16	14.5	15.1	-0.56	12.8	16.3	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.07,0.22,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, DET 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.14,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	92.9%
MIN 102, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.18,0	92.5%
HOU 86, MEM 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	92.1%