NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	116		Excitement	8.3 [184]		MVP	Doug Christie (SAC): +22.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	109		Comeback	2.0 [425]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -12.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.09	0.10	-0.03	12	85%	0.30	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.04
Peja Stojakovic	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.01	16	60%	0.20	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.04
Bobby Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	8	72%	0.12	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Peeler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.00	8	58%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Darius Songaila	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1	0.00	-0.10	0.01	13	63%	-0.00	3	-0.10	12	92%	0.05
Vlade Divac	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	11	46%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	17	55%	0.09	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.07
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	14	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	16	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.14
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	2	83%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.12	-0.01	22	46%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	28.3	15.5	25.2	2.0	35.4	132.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +70.5%

LAC -10.7%

LAC -1.3%

LAC -15.4%

SAC +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	14.8	15.7	119.6	111.2	100.5
season	14.7	15.5		106.9	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.6	15.9	13.7	14.8	14.7
LAC	15.4	16.8	14.5	12.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	73	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-9	25	14.3	16.0	-1.63	15.2	13.7	1.57
Doug Christie	90	89	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.40	8	-1	9	14.2	21.3	-7.06	14.6	16.7	-2.05
Peja Stojakovic	75	76	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.20	13	-6	19	13.9	17.5	-3.64	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Mike Bibby	69	69	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-6	19	13.4	17.9	-4.49	14.3	15.9	-1.60
Brad Miller	69	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	1	5	14.8	14.5	0.28	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Darius Songaila	10	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	20.0	14.1	5.87	14.6	14.8	-0.23
Anthony Peeler	28	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	13	-19	17.9	13.4	4.49	15.9	14.3	1.60
Tony Massenburg	40	41	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	13	-19	14.5	14.9	-0.35	14.8	14.8	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	31	33	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.01	-7	14	-21	17.5	13.4	4.14	15.4	14.5	0.93

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	33	32	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-12	17	15.7	14.4	1.34	17.7	13.2	4.50
Chris Wilcox	44	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-6	5	15.5	14.3	1.22	15.7	13.9	1.82
Doug Overton	53	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-13	19	14.4	15.3	-0.97	15.5	13.9	1.57
Predrag Drobnjak	49	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.44	8	-15	23	14.3	15.3	-0.92	14.9	14.5	0.42
Chris Kaman	26	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	3	-13	16.5	14.2	2.31	15.8	14.4	1.38
Quentin Richardson	81	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	0	-7	14.8	14.8	0.05	13.7	19.9	-6.16
Marko Jaric	43	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	6	-19	15.6	14.2	1.46	14.3	15.1	-0.73
Elton Brand	77	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	4	-15	14.1	17.2	-3.10	13.7	18.5	-4.84
Corey Maggette	84	83	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.40	-12	5	-17	14.3	17.8	-3.48	14.3	17.2	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.4,0.38,0.55,0.67,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 101, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.6,0.55,0.46,0.57,0.09,0	90.7%
MIN 91, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.57,0.08,0	90.3%
MEM 99, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.42,0	90.2%