NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	91		Excitement	7.4 [339]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +20.2%
Utah Jazz	88		Comeback	2.0 [340]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -36.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.08,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.09	0.00	24	65%	0.36	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.13	0.01	0.12	0.01	12	64%	0.24	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
Malik Sealy	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	13	53%	0.03	0	0.00	10	90%	0.05
Sam Mitchell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dean Garrett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	6	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.06	0.03	12	82%	0.25	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.09	0.00	6	67%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	7	44%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	17	33%	-0.11	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.22,-0.12,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.11	-0.26	-0.00	18	49%	0.01	5	-0.38	7	71%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	25.3	15.7	22.4	0.6	34.4	125.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -1.6%

UTA -3.8%

MIN +5.7%

MIN +46.9%

MIN +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	17.1	15.6	15.2	103.4	100.0	101.7
season	15.1	16.3		103.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.7		100.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.8	20.9	18.1	14.5	17.1
UTA	17.0	16.1	14.6	14.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	71	72	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.33	13	-10	23	16.2	20.8	-4.54	15.7	15.2	0.46
Malik Sealy	66	68	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-11	25	17.1	17.0	0.08	15.2	17.1	-1.97
Kevin Garnett	73	72	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	-6	15	17.6	14.7	2.86	15.3	17.1	-1.83
Joe Smith	37	36	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.43	-4	7	-11	15.3	18.4	-3.07	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Rasho Nesterovic	48	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	-9	21	17.8	16.2	1.56	15.9	15.3	0.62
Anthony Peeler	40	38	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.48	-9	12	-21	16.2	17.8	-1.56	15.6	15.7	-0.13
Sam Mitchell	49	49	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	3	-3	18.8	15.0	3.73	15.8	15.5	0.29
Wally Szczerbiak	21	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	2	-1	14.8	17.8	-3.01	16.4	15.4	0.98
Tom Hammonds	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	3	-3	0.0	17.1	-17.10	5.0	15.7	-10.75
William Avery	17	16	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.08	-10	13	-23	20.8	16.2	4.54	15.2	15.7	-0.46
Dean Garrett	18	17	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	14	-25	16.9	17.2	-0.27	17.9	15.1	2.80

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	31	32	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.06	11	-14	25	16.9	14.9	1.97	18.2	16.5	1.66
Adam Keefe	22	22	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-9	15	16.6	15.3	1.29	19.7	16.2	3.44
Quincy Lewis	24	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	6	-15	16.9	15.2	1.72	13.8	18.4	-4.56
Jacque Vaughn	27	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	8	-19	16.0	15.5	0.49	14.9	18.1	-3.24
Armen Gilliam	40	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-10	17	15.4	15.8	-0.37	16.1	17.9	-1.80
John Stockton	63	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.50	7	-10	17	15.5	15.9	-0.41	18.1	14.9	3.19
Olden Polynice	40	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	9	-21	15.8	15.5	0.32	17.3	16.9	0.37
Howard Eisley	52	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-3	3	14.8	16.8	-2.00	16.7	17.7	-0.92
Bryon Russell	76	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.44	-2	-1	-1	15.5	16.5	-1.01	17.7	13.5	4.18
Karl Malone	65	66	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.33	-12	9	-21	15.0	17.3	-2.27	17.1	17.2	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.57,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.28,0	92.2%
NOP 101, CHA 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.34,0.26,0	92.1%
CHI 102, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.33,0.31,0.54,0.55,0.27,0	91.4%