NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	7.6 [281]		MVP	Mark Jackson (IND): +55.5%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	1.5 [626]		LVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): -35.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0.56	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.54,0.56	0.14	0.41	-0.00	12	82%	0.60	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Derrick McKey	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.27	0.01	0.26	-0.00	3	50%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.00	1	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.03	6	25%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	19	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	69%	0.05	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rik Smits	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.04	-0.13	-0.00	15	65%	0.10	3	-0.19	4	100%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.32	0.32	0.10	0.19	-0.03	22	62%	0.37	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.04
Charlie Ward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	7	36%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bowie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	13	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.08
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.26,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31,-0.35	-0.35	-0.14	-0.17	0.05	19	38%	-0.28	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.0	1.8	23.2	15.4	27.2	1.8	35.2	124.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +74.5%

NYK -3.7%

IND +0.4%

NYK -26.5%

IND +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	16.2	17.5	15.6	107.1	100.0	102.5
season	16.0	15.7		105.3	100.4
opponent	16.3	16.1		98.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.9	17.4	15.6	15.8	16.2
NYK	16.8	16.1	19.6	17.8	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	63	65	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.36	15	-10	25	15.7	17.3	-1.57	17.6	17.2	0.38
Rik Smits	69	71	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-9	23	16.0	16.8	-0.81	17.2	19.3	-2.11
Reggie Miller	79	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-4	13	16.0	18.2	-2.17	17.3	19.7	-2.39
Derrick McKey	36	34	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	4	-3	15.7	16.5	-0.75	18.1	17.1	0.98
Antonio Davis	43	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	9	-13	16.2	16.1	0.11	18.2	16.9	1.28
Dale Davis	52	54	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	0	5	16.2	16.1	0.05	17.4	17.8	-0.46
Chris Mullin	44	47	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	2	1	16.0	16.3	-0.22	17.9	17.1	0.86
Jalen Rose	17	18	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	13	-21	18.5	15.6	2.90	16.7	17.7	-1.08
Travis Best	22	21	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.01	-10	15	-25	17.3	15.7	1.57	17.2	17.6	-0.38

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Cummings	35	37	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.13	10	-15	25	17.1	17.8	-0.64	17.7	14.9	2.79
Chris Mills	17	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-5	5	15.4	18.1	-2.71	15.4	16.3	-0.88
Anthony Bowie	42	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-7	9	18.1	17.0	1.12	17.2	15.1	2.05
John Starks	57	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-5	5	17.6	17.3	0.27	16.1	16.2	-0.14
Allan Houston	78	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	2	-9	17.7	15.9	1.82	15.9	18.7	-2.87
Larry Johnson	68	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	6	-17	17.6	17.2	0.45	15.7	17.7	-2.09
Charles Oakley	69	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.32	-9	4	-13	17.6	17.1	0.51	15.8	17.7	-1.94
Charlie Ward	64	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	5	-15	17.4	17.8	-0.34	16.0	16.5	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, PHX 96	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.28,0.43,0.28,0	93.5%
DAL 120, GSW 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.17,0	92.6%
MIN 105, PHX 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.28,0.37,0.54,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.27,0	92.6%