NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	8.3 [207]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): +14.6%
Phoenix Suns	98		Comeback	2.0 [382]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -24.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.07	0.09	0.02	7	78%	0.18	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	65%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Gary Trent	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	16	56%	0.10	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	65%	0.01	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.04
Kevin Garnett	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.26,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	22	53%	0.05	3	-0.16	11	82%	-0.02
Kendall Gill	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	6	29%	-0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	10	55%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	22	55%	0.08	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.23	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.03	3	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	6	57%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.15	-0.06	15	46%	0.08	4	-0.27	5	80%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	15	29%	-0.14	1	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.3	31.5	29.7	27.0	2.0	31.0	148.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +12.2%

MIN +12.6%

MIN +9.6%

MIN +14.2%

MIN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.5	111.7	106.5	101.6
season	14.9	15.0		104.0	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.8		100.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.7	14.4	15.2	17.1	15.6
PHX	16.3	14.4	16.1	14.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	61	62	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.38	14	-7	21	16.0	14.8	1.14	15.7	14.7	1.01
Anthony Peeler	56	55	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-9	25	14.4	17.3	-2.82	15.9	14.7	1.18
Kevin Garnett	82	81	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.14	19	-12	31	15.0	19.5	-4.49	15.7	13.1	2.60
Wally Szczerbiak	83	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	1	5	15.8	13.8	2.00	15.1	17.3	-2.25
Troy Hudson	76	73	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	16.0	13.8	2.17	15.3	15.6	-0.25
Mike Wilks	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	7	-7	13.8	16.0	-2.17	15.6	15.3	0.25
Gary Trent	22	22	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.05	-9	16	-25	17.5	15.0	2.44	15.0	15.5	-0.44
Kendall Gill	42	40	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.06	-11	18	-29	16.2	15.1	1.14	14.5	16.0	-1.47
Marc Jackson	30	28	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.06	-7	14	-21	15.6	15.6	-0.03	15.1	15.5	-0.39

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	41	41	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-8	9	15.7	15.2	0.50	15.5	15.6	-0.13
Bo Outlaw	4	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-3	-1	18.5	15.2	3.26	14.3	15.6	-1.29
Dan Langhi	26	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.21	2	-9	11	14.5	15.7	-1.23	15.2	15.7	-0.56
Tom Gugliotta	21	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-1	-5	14.3	15.7	-1.36	12.0	16.7	-4.62
Jake Voskuhl	19	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-4	1	14.9	15.5	-0.55	16.4	15.3	1.09
Amar'e Stoudemire	61	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-4	1	16.1	14.0	2.13	16.6	13.5	3.11
Joe Johnson	68	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-4	1	15.6	14.6	1.02	15.6	15.4	0.26
Stephon Marbury	85	86	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-4	1	15.1	18.4	-3.30	15.5	16.4	-0.86
Anfernee Hardaway	50	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	2	-11	15.0	15.8	-0.79	16.0	15.1	0.97
Shawn Marion	85	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.29	-7	0	-7	15.5	14.4	1.03	15.5	16.9	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.28,0.37,0.54,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 114, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.26,0	93.2%
IND 91, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.28,0	92.6%
CHI 110, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.38,0.47,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	92.2%