NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	110		Excitement	11.0 [51]		MVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): +67.4%
Orlando Magic	109		Comeback	2.3 [179]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -19.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0.57	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.57	0.08	0.48	-0.01	21	52%	0.58	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.05
Robin Lopez	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.3	0.10	0.22	0.01	13	64%	0.30	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Otto Porter Jr.	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.04	0.22	0.01	15	53%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Shaquille Harrison	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	4	80%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,-0.04,-0.19	0.10	-0.24	0.05	14	67%	-0.14	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.13,0.67	0.67	0.06	0.63	0.01	17	59%	0.72	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Briscoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	5	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	14	53%	0.12	4	-0.08	4	25%	-0.07
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,0	0.00	0.09	-0.08	0.00	11	65%	0.05	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.01	16	53%	0.06	2	-0.11	4	25%	-0.05
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.14	-0.14	0.06	-0.18	0.01	9	70%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.28
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	6	29%	-0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	26.3	14.5	26.6	2.4	36.3	130.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -68.1%

CHI +84.3%

ORL -6.0%

CHI +23.3%

CHI +16.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.0	14.3	112.2	110.1	109.3
season	14.6	14.9		104.2	107.2
opponent	14.3	14.3		107.2	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	15.4	13.9	17.0	15.3
ORL	14.4	13.4	14.3	13.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	61	63	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.93	-3	4	-7	15.3	15.3	-0.04	14.5	13.1	1.44
Otto Porter Jr.	77	78	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.38	10	-9	19	15.3	15.2	0.05	14.3	12.9	1.41
Zach LaVine	66	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	-2	5	15.0	15.9	-0.94	14.5	12.8	1.74
Lauri Markkanen	75	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	-1	3	15.5	14.4	1.16	14.2	13.1	1.13
Wayne Selden	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.45	-3	4	-7	15.3	15.2	0.12	12.5	15.6	-3.09
Ryan Arcidiacono	40	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	-4	9	15.9	14.8	1.10	13.0	14.6	-1.67
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	11	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	2	-3	15.8	15.2	0.61	12.0	14.2	-2.24
Shaquille Harrison	30	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	3	-5	15.6	15.1	0.47	13.6	14.1	-0.59
Cristiano Felicio	18	17	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.07	-4	5	-9	15.5	15.2	0.27	12.4	14.3	-1.95
Kris Dunn	61	60	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.27	-2	3	-5	14.5	16.6	-2.12	15.1	12.3	2.83

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	55	54	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.15	6	-7	13	13.3	14.8	-1.53	15.6	14.9	0.75
D.J. Augustin	56	57	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.17	1	-2	3	14.8	12.8	2.00	14.4	16.4	-2.00
Khem Birch	35	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-1	1	12.9	14.6	-1.72	16.4	14.7	1.74
Isaiah Briscoe	42	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-1	1	13.1	14.6	-1.48	16.4	14.4	2.00
Nikola Vucevic	58	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-5	9	14.8	12.8	1.99	14.7	16.2	-1.44
Wes Iwundu	39	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.72	11	-12	23	12.0	15.2	-3.21	16.1	14.8	1.29
Aaron Gordon	68	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	6	-13	13.7	14.5	-0.75	15.2	15.4	-0.19
Evan Fournier	77	76	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.40	-12	11	-23	14.8	11.1	3.64	15.1	16.0	-0.99
Jonathan Isaac	65	63	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.60	-8	7	-15	14.7	12.6	2.01	14.8	16.2	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.38,0.47,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, PHX 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.28,0.37,0.54,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.27,0	92.2%
ORL 90, IND 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.34,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.18,0	91.1%
ATL 114, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.26,0	91.0%