NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	90		Excitement	9.0 [113]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +21.1%
Indiana Pacers	86		Comeback	1.8 [749]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -33.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21	0.03	0.18	0.00	14	53%	0.28	2	-0.07	19	58%	-0.12
Rashard Lewis	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.02	0.00	11	91%	0.23	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Jameer Nelson	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.32,0.06	-0.08	0.14	0.01	12	44%	0.15	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.04
Quentin Richardson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	43%	-0.01	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	12	31%	-0.16	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	11	56%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.17,-0.17,0.07	0.07	-0.08	0.14	-0.01	6	36%	0.19	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.04
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	16	51%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	12	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.18	-0.05	14	36%	-0.20	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.32,-0.34	-0.34	-0.11	-0.22	0.01	18	34%	-0.28	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	29.6	16.6	28.2	2.6	37.2	141.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +51.1%

ORL +22.1%

IND -21.9%

IND -5.9%

ORL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.5	97.8	93.5	105.7
season	15.2	14.7		106.3	103.1
opponent	15.4	16.2		104.5	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.8	16.7	13.4	17.2	15.4
IND	15.2	16.8	15.4	16.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	62	63	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	-4	12	14.7	16.9	-2.22	15.7	16.2	-0.44
Rashard Lewis	67	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	2	0	14.8	17.1	-2.26	16.1	15.1	1.01
Dwight Howard	72	72	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.39	-1	5	-6	15.3	15.8	-0.53	15.9	15.7	0.22
Quentin Richardson	36	36	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-8	20	13.2	16.9	-3.73	16.5	15.5	1.04
Jameer Nelson	59	60	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	3	-2	14.9	16.5	-1.59	16.2	15.2	1.00
Mickael Pietrus	46	45	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.35	-4	8	-12	17.0	13.9	3.04	15.5	16.3	-0.79
Chris Duhon	33	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	1	2	16.5	14.9	1.59	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Marcin Gortat	19	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	-1	6	16.7	15.1	1.57	15.7	15.9	-0.22
Brandon Bass	36	35	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	6	-8	16.5	14.8	1.70	15.2	16.3	-1.03
JJ Redick	30	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	8	-12	16.9	14.7	2.22	16.2	15.7	0.44

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	37	35	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-6	8	16.0	15.8	0.22	16.2	14.9	1.28
Tyler Hansbrough	22	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-6	8	15.9	15.9	0.05	16.1	15.2	0.92
Josh McRoberts	32	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	1	-6	16.2	15.7	0.44	13.6	16.4	-2.75
A.J. Price	24	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-1	-2	16.3	15.7	0.57	16.0	15.2	0.75
Mike Dunleavy	61	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-1	-2	15.6	16.4	-0.73	14.5	17.3	-2.82
Brandon Rush	53	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-8	12	16.0	15.7	0.26	15.8	14.9	0.83
James Posey	38	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-3	2	15.6	16.1	-0.45	16.5	14.6	1.84
T.J. Ford	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-3	2	15.7	16.3	-0.57	15.2	16.0	-0.75
Danny Granger	70	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	5	-14	16.0	15.5	0.55	15.8	14.4	1.33
Roy Hibbert	55	56	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.37	-6	2	-8	15.8	16.0	-0.22	15.2	15.8	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.34,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.18,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 104, PHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.27,0	92.2%
CHA 105, NJN 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.55,0.16,0	92.0%
NOH 97, ORL 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.42,0.48,0.29,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.43,0	92.0%