inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 110 Excitement7.9 [293] MVPCJ McCollum (NOP): +38.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder 106 Comeback15.9 [56] LVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): -24.1%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
CJ McCollum0.390,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.38,0.390.180.220.011771%0.401-0.02757%-0.10
Jonas Valanciunas0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.140.060.031070%0.1700.00786%0.03
Matt Ryan0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.020.04-0.02642%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Kira Lewis Jr.0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.030.00462%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Larry Nance Jr.-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,00.06-0.040.03575%-0.0000.0020%-0.13
Cody Zeller-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Herbert Jones-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01928%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Dyson Daniels-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.03-0.011033%-0.051-0.04425%-0.04
Jordan Hawkins-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.14-0.01-0.031926%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Zion Williamson-0.240,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.24-0.11-0.15-0.012041%-0.064-0.18967%-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.120.120.030.08-0.011351%0.161-0.04989%0.04
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.07-0.00267%0.1000.002100%0.02
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.03-0.00753%0.0700.003100%0.01
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.00583%0.122-0.052100%0.01
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,00.000.04-0.020.02764%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Lindy Waters III00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Olivier Sarr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Ousmane Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chet Holmgren0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.02-0.040.031463%0.105-0.152100%0.01
Josh Giddey0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16-0.16-0.04-0.110.011644%-0.122-0.042100%0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,-0.24-0.24-0.03-0.21-0.002044%-0.182-0.06580%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.44.331.615.432.33.833.2148.1
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +63.6%
OKC -43.9%
NOP +27.7%
NOP +3.2%
OKC -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPOKCNBANOPOKCNBA
this game14.912.414.5105.899.1113.9
season14.413.9114.8117.1
opponent14.714.7109.6111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP16.612.814.416.214.9
OKC11.811.213.813.212.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
CJ McCollum81840.69-0.190.880.2216-122814.914.80.0812.213.3-1.15
Herbert Jones66670.60-0.100.700.3110-61615.314.11.2712.712.00.64
Jordan Hawkins83840.54-0.040.590.0417-133014.615.9-1.2812.412.5-0.09
Jonas Valanciunas44450.370.130.240.148-41215.514.41.0312.812.20.64
Matt Ryan41430.180.32-0.150.26-37-1015.114.70.4312.512.40.11
Larry Nance Jr.53540.160.34-0.180.19-15-614.315.5-1.2712.112.8-0.61
Zion Williamson71740.070.43-0.350.28-711-1814.914.80.0512.811.71.09
Dyson Daniels55570.050.45-0.410.22-610-1614.615.2-0.6411.813.2-1.41
Kira Lewis Jr.2222-0.080.58-0.660.16-812-2014.814.9-0.0813.212.30.92
Cody Zeller45-0.090.59-0.670.09-610-1615.514.90.6412.412.5-0.05

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Wiggins28280.26-0.761.01-0.1514-183212.712.40.3615.614.61.04
Lindy Waters III320.04-0.540.58-0.022-6815.012.42.625.015.1-10.08
Olivier Sarr1815-0.02-0.480.460.10-40-412.212.5-0.2713.115.2-2.12
Luguentz Dort6463-0.02-0.480.460.07-3-1-212.812.00.7915.713.72.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander8381-0.22-0.280.05-0.313-71012.612.00.6315.114.10.97
Cason Wallace4139-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.17-40-412.612.40.1814.215.3-1.17
Ousmane Dieng2727-0.32-0.18-0.130.01-117-1812.412.5-0.0614.715.0-0.29
Isaiah Joe3433-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.27-40-412.012.7-0.7014.015.3-1.34
Chet Holmgren8180-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.40-1-3212.412.7-0.2715.114.10.99
Josh Giddey7069-0.510.01-0.53-0.34-62-812.113.1-1.0115.114.50.64
Jalen Williams8683-0.610.11-0.71-0.43-62-812.412.5-0.0314.815.4-0.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 92, UTA 860.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.09,091.2%
NOP 120, DEN 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,091.1%
MIN 106, DEN 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.76,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.04,0.02,091.1%