NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	92		Excitement	7.2 [362]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +14.2%
Utah Jazz	86		Comeback	10.6 [45]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -17.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.03	0.11	-0.00	16	62%	0.21	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.09
Bobby Jackson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.03	0.11	0.01	10	65%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.05	5	-0.15	3	67%	-0.03
Jason Williams	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17	-0.03	-0.13	0.02	20	55%	-0.06	4	-0.12	7	57%	-0.06

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	10	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	14	47%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	3	50%	-0.03	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	17	50%	-0.08	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	39.1	2.8	27.4	19.3	24.5	3.4	35.3	151.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +13.9%

SAC +18.6%

SAC +5.4%

SAC +6.9%

SAC +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.5	97.9	92.5	100.9
season	14.4	16.0		103.1	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.5	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.2	15.2	16.8	16.2	15.3
UTA	14.5	18.4	15.3	14.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	72	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-5	16	14.7	17.2	-2.52	15.8	14.6	1.20
Peja Stojakovic	87	86	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.24	12	-6	18	14.9	19.4	-4.51	15.8	12.6	3.22
Bobby Jackson	49	49	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-3	12	16.8	13.6	3.26	15.7	15.3	0.39
Doug Christie	66	65	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-5	16	14.4	17.3	-2.89	15.9	14.7	1.14
Vlade Divac	59	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.43	-7	13	-20	15.6	14.7	0.86	14.8	16.7	-1.87
Scot Pollard	43	42	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	-1	8	15.3	15.2	0.17	17.0	14.3	2.73
Jason Williams	46	46	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	6	-6	13.3	17.1	-3.78	15.1	16.0	-0.96
Jon Barry	28	28	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	11	-16	17.3	14.4	2.89	14.7	15.9	-1.14
Lawrence Funderburke	13	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	8	-10	17.7	14.9	2.83	13.2	15.9	-2.73
Nick Anderson	7	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	12	-18	19.4	14.9	4.51	12.6	15.8	-3.22

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olden Polynice	44	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-11	16	14.6	16.4	-1.82	15.8	14.8	1.04
Jacque Vaughn	29	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	0	-6	18.6	14.2	4.41	13.6	16.0	-2.38
John Stockton	53	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.31	5	-11	16	14.3	17.2	-2.99	16.0	14.3	1.71
John Crotty	11	9	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-1	-4	13.7	15.8	-2.07	16.3	15.1	1.19
John Starks	44	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.32	4	-10	14	14.8	16.2	-1.43	16.9	13.9	3.04
Danny Manning	19	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-2	-2	15.3	15.6	-0.29	15.8	15.1	0.74
Greg Ostertag	34	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	4	-14	17.1	14.7	2.43	14.0	16.0	-2.01
Donyell Marshall	67	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-3	0	15.3	16.1	-0.73	14.6	16.9	-2.31
Karl Malone	76	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	0	-6	15.8	14.4	1.39	15.2	15.7	-0.55
Bryon Russell	88	90	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	4	-14	15.8	11.2	4.60	15.1	18.2	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 106, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.76,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.04,0.02,0	93.0%
PHX 102, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.04,0	92.5%
LAC 97, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	92.3%