NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	109		Excitement	8.2 [249]		MVP	Armoni Brooks (BKN): +25.3%
Miami Heat	105		Comeback	11.2 [55]		LVP	Ben Simmons (BKN): -23.3%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armoni Brooks	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.20	0.06	0.01	7	121%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17	0.10	0.08	0.00	10	75%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	6	79%	0.18	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.07,0.01,0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	16	57%	0.13	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.05
Lonnie Walker IV	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.02	9	59%	0.13	3	-0.07	11	73%	-0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Royce O'Neale	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.10	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23	-0.18	-0.09	-0.04	19	31%	-0.14	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Ben Simmons	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	4	-0.19	2	0%	-0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Haywood Highsmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	90%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	12	72%	0.21	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.03
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.05	0.02	23	64%	0.11	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.05
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	31%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	-0.01	16	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	0.00	-0.03	9	11%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	9	20%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	1.8	25.4	14.6	27.1	1.7	34.2	134.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +49.3%

BKN +4.5%

BKN +10.8%

MIA -13.2%

MIA -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIA	NBA	BKN	MIA	NBA
this game	12.8	15.2	14.5	104.8	102.9	113.9
season	14.8	14.9		111.9	112.3
opponent	14.8	14.5		111.0	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	11.4	13.7	13.6	12.3	12.8
MIA	15.2	13.4	15.8	16.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Armoni Brooks	34	34	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.05	30	-26	56	10.5	13.9	-3.40	18.3	13.7	4.60
Trendon Watford	30	30	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.12	19	-15	34	10.2	13.8	-3.60	18.1	14.0	4.02
Lonnie Walker IV	54	55	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.09	15	-11	26	11.7	13.9	-2.12	16.2	14.1	2.04
Royce O'Neale	82	80	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.49	-3	7	-10	12.9	12.4	0.44	15.3	14.8	0.52
Ben Simmons	72	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.61	-9	13	-22	13.1	12.0	1.10	15.5	14.6	0.97
Day'Ron Sharpe	28	27	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.23	15	-11	26	11.7	13.1	-1.38	15.4	15.1	0.30
Cam Thomas	75	75	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.21	-9	13	-22	13.8	10.0	3.87	13.8	19.1	-5.33
Mikal Bridges	67	65	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.27	-14	18	-32	13.4	11.5	1.93	14.0	17.4	-3.38
Jalen Wilson	13	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	8	-12	13.5	12.7	0.80	13.3	15.5	-2.14
Dorian Finney-Smith	65	62	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.32	-20	24	-44	13.8	11.0	2.86	14.1	16.9	-2.84

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	41	41	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.03	7	-11	18	14.9	15.5	-0.58	13.1	12.5	0.56
Kyle Lowry	64	64	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.27	7	-11	18	14.3	16.8	-2.58	13.9	11.0	2.90
Thomas Bryant	32	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	5	-14	16.2	14.8	1.40	12.1	13.1	-0.94
Jimmy Butler	70	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-1	-2	15.2	15.3	-0.17	13.5	11.1	2.45
Duncan Robinson	45	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	0	-4	16.0	14.6	1.35	11.2	14.1	-2.96
Bam Adebayo	70	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-9	14	14.8	16.2	-1.40	13.1	12.1	0.94
Haywood Highsmith	48	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	5	-14	16.0	14.5	1.50	11.6	13.8	-2.17
Tyler Herro	76	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.49	-1	-3	2	15.2	15.4	-0.21	12.6	13.3	-0.67
Josh Richardson	64	65	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.36	-13	9	-22	15.4	14.9	0.49	12.9	12.6	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.17,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 108, BOS 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.45,0.28,0.16,0.01,0	93.2%
CHI 96, SAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.1,0,0,0	91.3%
DET 94, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.09,0	90.7%