NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	94		Excitement	8.3 [180]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +33.8%
Atlanta Hawks	89		Comeback	16.1 [33]		LVP	Darvin Ham (DET): -23.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.07	0.00	12	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	14	67%	0.10	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.07
Bob Sura	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	67%	0.11	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.04
Tremaine Fowlkes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Elden Campbell	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	23	43%	-0.07	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.14
Corliss Williamson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.04
Darvin Ham	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.23	-0.06	-0.18	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.34	0.34	0.07	0.25	-0.02	13	69%	0.37	2	-0.03	10	100%	0.08
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	21	52%	0.03	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.05
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	0.01	10	62%	0.15	3	-0.25	1	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	3	12%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.12	-0.02	12	52%	-0.02	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	495.8	1.8	32.1	16.4	25.7	1.6	40.4	613.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -40.4%

DET +25.1%

DET +42.0%

DET +24.8%

ATL -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.3	15.7	102.2	95.7	100.5
season	16.2	15.3		99.2	98.2
opponent	15.5	16.0		103.0	92.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.8	15.0	15.0	17.5	15.8
ATL	14.2	13.3	18.5	16.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	39	41	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.43	16	-11	27	14.5	16.8	-2.27	15.0	15.6	-0.62
Ben Wallace	77	76	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-9	23	16.5	12.2	4.29	16.0	12.5	3.52
Corliss Williamson	32	33	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.59	4	1	3	17.6	14.8	2.71	16.4	14.8	1.58
Lindsey Hunter	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	1	3	14.7	19.5	-4.83	15.3	15.6	-0.32
Tayshaun Prince	69	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	4	-3	17.0	12.3	4.71	16.3	12.7	3.59
Chauncey Billups	77	78	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	5	-5	16.4	12.7	3.66	14.9	17.7	-2.85
Mehmet Okur	27	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	3	2	1	14.8	16.2	-1.39	13.4	16.2	-2.75
Darko Milicic	7	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	9	-13	15.6	15.8	-0.24	14.4	15.4	-0.99
Tremaine Fowlkes	22	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	9	-13	13.3	16.6	-3.31	12.7	16.3	-3.59
Elden Campbell	27	26	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.07	-12	17	-29	16.7	15.4	1.24	15.7	15.2	0.48
Darvin Ham	12	11	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.41	3	2	1	11.7	16.4	-4.65	17.6	15.0	2.60

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Glover	72	75	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.05	9	-14	23	15.5	14.9	0.57	16.2	13.8	2.42
Boris Diaw	24	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-2	-1	14.3	15.7	-1.36	12.2	16.9	-4.75
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	75	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-4	3	15.0	16.6	-1.57	16.5	13.0	3.52
Chris Crawford	18	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-3	1	16.6	15.0	1.57	13.6	16.3	-2.71
Theo Ratliff	61	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.37	7	-12	19	15.1	15.7	-0.62	17.3	12.6	4.74
Nazr Mohammed	32	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	7	-19	15.7	15.1	0.62	12.6	17.3	-4.74
Jason Terry	69	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-3	1	16.1	13.2	2.82	16.8	12.5	4.39
Stephen Jackson	75	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	-1	-3	15.1	16.2	-1.09	16.6	12.4	4.23
Jacque Vaughn	39	36	-1.11	0.61	-1.71	-0.61	-17	12	-29	14.8	15.7	-0.86	12.9	17.6	-4.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, VAN 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.89,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.54,0.37,0.31,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.08,0	91.1%
MIA 99, NYK 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.66,0.7,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.02,0	91.0%
DET 112, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.15,0	90.9%