NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	92		Excitement	7.4 [333]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +20.8%
Vancouver Grizzlies	87		Comeback	9.3 [190]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -22.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.21	0.02	0.19	-0.00	19	58%	0.27	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.05
Sam Cassell	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.06,0.08,0.09	-0.07	0.13	-0.03	18	50%	0.19	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Tim Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	43%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	12	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	1	83%	0.02	1	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Vinny Del Negro	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	13	54%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.03	0.02	19	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	3	56%	-0.02	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	12	52%	-0.04	5	-0.12	7	57%	-0.04
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.18,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	15	61%	0.17	8	-0.36	6	67%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.12	0.02	15	47%	-0.04	4	-0.18	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.4	30.0	14.8	24.0	1.8	36.2	131.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +17.9%

MIL +25.3%

VAN -28.2%

MIL +37.1%

VAN -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	VAN	NBA	MIL	VAN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.9	15.2	98.9	92.6	101.7
season	14.9	15.9		105.5	99.5
opponent	15.0	15.4		105.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.9	14.7	14.5	13.3	14.8
VAN	12.6	16.7	16.8	18.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	76	75	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.40	12	-7	19	14.4	16.7	-2.27	16.1	15.2	0.92
Danny Manning	36	36	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.34	13	-8	21	14.9	14.8	0.02	18.1	14.6	3.46
Tim Thomas	42	42	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.08	10	-5	15	14.9	14.8	0.10	16.7	15.3	1.43
Ervin Johnson	58	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	5	-5	14.1	16.1	-1.94	16.5	15.0	1.53
Ray Allen	76	78	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	9	-13	14.5	16.5	-1.98	15.6	17.8	-2.25
Scott Williams	64	64	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	3	-1	15.8	12.8	2.99	14.7	18.5	-3.80
Glenn Robinson	75	76	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.27	-8	13	-21	14.7	15.3	-0.60	15.0	19.8	-4.74
Vinny Del Negro	34	35	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	3	-1	16.6	13.8	2.74	16.4	15.7	0.72
Darvin Ham	4	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.04	-2	7	-9	12.0	15.0	-2.98	16.7	15.9	0.84

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug West	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-5	5	15.0	16.0	-0.96	13.0	14.9	-1.87
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	75	73	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.29	8	-13	21	15.3	18.7	-3.43	14.6	15.7	-1.08
Milt Palacio	8	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-1	-3	21.9	15.4	6.48	16.5	14.7	1.81
Bryant Reeves	78	78	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-8	11	15.3	19.2	-3.91	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Othella Harrington	64	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	16.1	15.7	0.36	14.7	15.1	-0.42
Michael Dickerson	77	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.20	0	-5	5	15.6	17.7	-2.15	14.8	15.1	-0.33
Felipe Lopez	17	17	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	0	-5	17.7	15.6	2.15	15.1	14.8	0.33
Grant Long	30	30	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	6	-17	16.7	15.6	1.06	17.1	13.8	3.27
Mike Bibby	86	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-4	3	15.4	21.9	-6.48	14.7	16.5	-1.81
Dennis Scott	34	36	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.39	-11	6	-17	18.2	14.7	3.49	13.9	15.4	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.89,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.54,0.37,0.31,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.02,0	92.0%
MIA 99, NYK 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.66,0.7,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.02,0	91.5%
ORL 88, TOR 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.59,0.53,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.27,0	91.2%