NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	7.2 [377]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +31.9%
Boston Celtics	100		Comeback	27.6 [18]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): -22.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.32	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32	0.14	0.18	0.01	15	74%	0.33	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.07	-0.00	14	52%	0.11	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Erick Strickland	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	63%	0.05	0	0.00	10	90%	0.02
Michael Finley	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.05	0.05	-0.03	15	50%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Dennis Rodman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	54%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Greg Buckner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Damon Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.01	6	79%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Pack	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	5	25%	-0.06	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	12	70%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	13	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.00	-0.13	0.00	15	62%	0.06	4	-0.18	4	100%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	7	40%	-0.02	3	-0.12	1	0%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.13,-0.19,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	21	43%	-0.14	1	-0.04	11	64%	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	15	37%	-0.11	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	32.4	17.4	27.9	1.8	32.4	137.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +64.1%

BOS -8.0%

BOS -22.3%

DAL +14.1%

DAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	BOS	NBA	DAL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.0	13.5	15.2	108.0	98.0	101.7
season	14.8	14.7		104.2	102.4
opponent	15.1	14.8		103.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.0	15.3	12.8	17.1	15.0
BOS	11.7	14.1	14.3	14.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	53	56	1.05	-0.55	1.60	0.26	27	-19	46	14.3	15.8	-1.46	14.3	12.6	1.73
Dennis Rodman	81	80	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-8	24	15.4	13.2	2.20	14.3	10.6	3.76
Cedric Ceballos	58	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	0	8	15.8	13.8	2.04	13.9	13.0	1.00
Michael Finley	67	66	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	5	-2	15.7	13.6	2.02	13.0	14.5	-1.53
Dirk Nowitzki	62	62	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.45	-2	10	-12	15.9	13.5	2.36	13.0	14.4	-1.37
Greg Buckner	20	21	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.26	15	-7	22	12.4	15.6	-3.18	13.1	13.7	-0.56
Hubert Davis	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	2	4	14.3	15.1	-0.87	11.8	13.9	-2.07
Damon Jones	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	10	-12	12.9	15.2	-2.29	8.3	13.9	-5.64
Sean Rooks	32	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.18	5	3	2	14.4	15.2	-0.81	14.7	13.0	1.71
Shawn Bradley	18	20	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.13	-10	18	-28	12.9	15.4	-2.49	13.0	13.7	-0.61
Erick Strickland	42	45	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.04	-11	19	-30	13.7	15.9	-2.28	13.6	13.5	0.03
Robert Pack	42	42	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.01	-15	23	-38	16.0	14.3	1.70	13.1	13.8	-0.67

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	33	32	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.03	7	-15	22	12.4	14.1	-1.74	14.3	15.3	-0.95
Doug Overton	7	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-2	-4	10.4	13.8	-3.34	13.9	15.1	-1.21
Tony Battie	44	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-9	10	13.3	13.7	-0.39	15.1	14.9	0.22
Danny Fortson	23	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-2	-4	14.9	13.1	1.77	12.9	15.7	-2.78
Vitaly Potapenko	52	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-8	8	13.2	13.9	-0.63	15.9	14.0	1.90
Walter McCarty	42	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	5	-18	13.9	13.3	0.66	15.3	14.8	0.55
Adrian Griffin	75	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	13.8	12.7	1.14	14.8	15.6	-0.88
Paul Pierce	52	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-3	-2	13.5	13.6	-0.08	15.5	14.4	1.10
Kenny Anderson	99	95	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-4	0	13.5	14.7	-1.16	14.9	16.0	-1.06
Antoine Walker	83	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.24	-9	1	-10	13.8	12.4	1.37	15.1	14.5	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.45,0.28,0.16,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 96, SAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.1,0,0,0	91.2%
CHA 97, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.04,0.01,0.08,0	91.2%
DET 81, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.06,0.04,0	90.8%