NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	115		Excitement	6.6 [498]		MVP	Keldon Johnson (SAS): +66.5%
Phoenix Suns	114		Comeback	48.5 [21]		LVP	Devin Vassell (SAS): -13.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keldon Johnson	0.66	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.66	0.14	0.58	0.06	20	61%	0.66	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Tre Jones	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.06	0.02	4	83%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Doug McDermott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	60%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Victor Wembanyama	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03	0.00	0.05	0.02	12	62%	0.15	5	-0.12	5	80%	-0.01
Zach Collins	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	11	61%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Julian Champagnie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Bassey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0,-0.07,-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	-0.00	17	50%	-0.03	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.03	10	55%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	-0.01	-0.00	9	86%	0.16	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	69%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.05	0.01	14	71%	0.07	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	44%	-0.00	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,-0.12	-0.12	0.04	-0.16	-0.00	19	65%	0.07	5	-0.18	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.0	27.5	16.7	34.0	2.8	35.1	147.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +29.0%

SAS +10.4%

PHX -2.8%

SAS +13.6%

PHX -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.0	14.4	14.5	111.7	114.0	113.9
season	13.9	14.6		108.6	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.3		113.5	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.9	13.8	14.4	12.8	14.0
PHX	13.3	13.8	15.0	15.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tre Jones	54	51	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.54	13	-12	25	13.0	15.1	-2.02	14.4	14.4	-0.06
Keldon Johnson	68	67	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.61	1	0	1	14.5	12.9	1.60	14.4	14.3	0.16
Victor Wembanyama	61	60	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.69	-3	4	-7	13.9	14.2	-0.32	14.5	14.2	0.34
Devin Vassell	79	75	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.59	-1	2	-3	13.6	15.2	-1.58	15.0	12.5	2.48
Jeremy Sochan	63	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.64	-7	8	-15	14.5	13.1	1.39	14.6	14.0	0.66
Julian Champagnie	7	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	2	-3	10.6	14.2	-3.68	15.1	14.3	0.82
Zach Collins	57	55	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.29	8	-7	15	14.0	14.0	0.00	15.5	13.0	2.51
Malaki Branham	19	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.12	2	-1	3	15.8	13.6	2.19	11.5	15.0	-3.52
Cedi Osman	38	38	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.25	6	-5	11	14.8	13.5	1.33	13.9	14.7	-0.83
Doug McDermott	34	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.12	0	1	-1	13.0	14.5	-1.54	14.5	14.3	0.25
Charles Bassey	35	33	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.05	-13	14	-27	14.3	13.8	0.48	12.2	15.4	-3.24

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Eubanks	37	39	0.32	-0.82	1.15	-0.06	13	-14	27	12.7	15.4	-2.71	13.5	14.3	-0.83
Nassir Little	42	42	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.08	2	-3	5	13.5	15.0	-1.56	12.4	15.1	-2.77
Jordan Goodwin	33	34	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.13	-2	1	-3	13.6	14.8	-1.16	12.6	14.7	-2.15
Jusuf Nurkic	60	62	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.21	-8	7	-15	15.6	12.5	3.09	14.5	13.2	1.26
Eric Gordon	75	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.65	8	-9	17	14.4	14.2	0.24	14.7	12.1	2.56
Kevin Durant	74	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.54	3	-4	7	14.4	14.5	-0.11	14.5	12.4	2.06
Josh Okogie	58	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	2	-5	15.0	13.5	1.56	15.1	12.4	2.77
Grayson Allen	74	78	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.43	-12	11	-23	15.1	12.4	2.70	14.3	13.1	1.16
Yuta Watanabe	47	45	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.71	-6	5	-11	13.5	15.1	-1.60	12.4	15.3	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.71,0.89,0.86,0.96,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 128, PHX 124	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.83,0	93.6%
BKN 117, ORL 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.77,0.74,0	92.8%
CHA 111, BKN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.79,0.77,0.9,0	92.5%