NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	110		Excitement	8.8 [166]		MVP	P.J. Washington (CHA): +27.7%
Charlotte Hornets	116		Comeback	3.0 [226]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -22.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Johnson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.05	0.00	13	70%	0.19	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Saddiq Bey	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.04	0.14	-0.00	12	58%	0.26	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	10	62%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	64%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	9	39%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	9	47%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
AJ Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.13	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	14	32%	-0.11	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Trae Young	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.25,-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	0.01	19	43%	-0.08	5	-0.14	15	93%	0.08

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.15	0.02	18	69%	0.30	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.14	-0.00	9	72%	0.27	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Williams	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	6	87%	0.16	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	16	55%	0.17	3	-0.07	12	67%	-0.04
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	87%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
LaMelo Ball	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.06	-0.02	15	44%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Theo Maledon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.00	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	8	53%	0.04	6	-0.20	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	34.4	14.8	25.1	2.4	38.5	142.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +80.9%

ATL -25.8%

CHA +10.2%

ATL -17.6%

CHA +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	13.4	14.2	14.5	105.8	110.5	113.9
season	14.2	14.8		115.7	108.3
opponent	14.5	14.3		118.7	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	11.7	14.2	14.5	13.4	13.4
CHA	14.0	13.5	14.3	14.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	42	43	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.01	14	-20	34	11.9	14.5	-2.59	15.6	13.1	2.50
AJ Griffin	22	23	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-8	10	11.7	13.9	-2.13	13.8	14.2	-0.42
Saddiq Bey	62	61	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.07	-2	-4	2	14.5	11.9	2.59	13.6	14.9	-1.26
Jalen Johnson	64	67	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.32	8	-14	22	12.3	15.2	-2.88	14.8	13.0	1.85
Bogdan Bogdanovic	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.26	6	-12	18	12.5	14.3	-1.82	14.9	13.3	1.60
Trae Young	81	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	5	-16	13.3	13.7	-0.32	13.8	15.2	-1.37
De'Andre Hunter	64	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.24	-13	7	-20	14.2	12.1	2.04	14.6	13.3	1.30
Dejounte Murray	70	72	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.34	-15	9	-24	14.1	12.1	2.00	13.2	16.1	-2.87
Clint Capela	62	61	-0.92	0.42	-1.35	-0.37	-19	13	-32	14.5	11.9	2.59	13.3	15.3	-2.01

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Williams	66	65	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.37	19	-13	32	13.0	16.1	-3.02	14.3	12.0	2.29
Terry Rozier	76	74	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.26	14	-8	22	13.8	15.1	-1.31	13.8	12.3	1.50
Gordon Hayward	73	72	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.23	15	-9	24	13.8	15.1	-1.31	13.8	12.4	1.44
P.J. Washington	70	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	1	4	14.6	13.3	1.26	13.0	14.1	-1.10
LaMelo Ball	69	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	-1	8	13.8	14.8	-1.04	12.7	14.9	-2.20
Nick Smith Jr.	2	2	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	6	-6	6.0	14.3	-8.31	15.0	13.4	1.63
JT Thor	43	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	4	-2	14.1	14.2	-0.02	14.0	13.0	0.98
Theo Maledon	35	34	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	11	-16	14.7	13.9	0.76	13.1	13.6	-0.47
Brandon Miller	53	53	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.13	-13	19	-32	14.9	13.4	1.48	13.2	13.6	-0.48
Nick Richards	38	38	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	-0.01	-14	20	-34	16.4	12.9	3.56	12.1	14.2	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 91, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.46,0.62,0.71,0.96,0.98,1	92.3%
DET 73, CLE 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.79,0.97,0.99,1	91.9%
SEA 91, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.54,0.73,0.69,0.53,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.76,0.92,1	91.6%