NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	109		Excitement	13.9 [7]		MVP	De'Anthony Melton (PHI): +31.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	4.3 [223]		LVP	James Harden (PHI): -68.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.15	0.15	0.01	12	75%	0.39	1	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Zach LaVine	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12	0.03	0.10	0.01	20	52%	0.28	3	-0.15	10	80%	0.10
DeMar DeRozan	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	22	50%	0.35	2	-0.25	6	83%	-0.06
Coby White	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	9	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Javonte Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	10	43%	0.08	1	-0.09	3	33%	-0.07
Andre Drummond	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Patrick Beverley	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-0.04	10	30%	-0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32	0.32	0.12	0.16	-0.05	15	63%	0.32	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.08	0.18	-0.01	22	61%	0.47	5	-0.20	17	88%	0.08
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.16,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	19	55%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15	-0.15	0.02	-0.16	0.00	11	64%	-0.01	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.36,-0.36,-0.58,-0.58,-0.58,-0.58,-0.58,-0.68	-0.68	-0.23	-0.42	0.03	14	17%	-0.35	5	-0.34	1	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	27.4	15.3	27.5	2.3	26.6	2.4	10.6	2.5	17.1	157.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +8.2%

CHI +28.8%

PHI -20.4%

CHI +37.8%

PHI -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	15.4	16.2	14.4	97.3	97.2	113.4
season	14.1	15.2		112.0	115.9
opponent	14.5	14.9		112.3	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	16.2	14.4	15.8	15.5	17.0	15.6
PHI	13.8	16.3	16.2	16.4	18.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Williams	62	59	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.85	-7	11	-18	15.7	15.1	0.63	16.3	16.0	0.30
Zach LaVine	93	90	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.48	5	-1	6	15.3	16.0	-0.67	16.0	17.4	-1.42
DeMar DeRozan	90	85	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	0	4	15.2	16.6	-1.48	16.4	15.3	1.09
Nikola Vucevic	87	86	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.28	5	-1	6	15.8	14.3	1.50	16.5	15.0	1.57
Derrick Jones Jr.	34	32	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.01	13	-9	22	13.0	16.5	-3.56	15.7	16.4	-0.78
Patrick Beverley	76	75	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	7	-10	16.1	14.1	2.05	16.3	16.0	0.25
Ayo Dosunmu	37	36	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.09	5	-1	6	14.7	15.8	-1.07	16.4	16.1	0.24
Andre Drummond	13	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	5	-6	15.8	15.4	0.37	15.0	16.3	-1.34
Javonte Green	18	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	5	-6	16.1	15.3	0.79	15.7	16.3	-0.59
Coby White	50	49	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.29	0	4	-4	16.1	14.9	1.25	16.1	16.3	-0.22

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	81	84	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.02	8	-12	20	15.5	18.2	-2.69	16.0	13.7	2.31
Danuel House Jr.	46	47	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.05	7	-11	18	14.7	17.4	-2.70	15.7	15.3	0.40
Shake Milton	20	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	0	-4	16.2	16.2	0.06	14.0	15.7	-1.70
Jalen McDaniels	14	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	1	-6	17.5	16.0	1.49	15.7	15.4	0.28
Tyrese Maxey	85	89	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.43	9	-13	22	15.7	18.0	-2.28	15.8	14.0	1.87
Tobias Harris	88	91	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-6	8	15.7	18.5	-2.88	15.8	14.0	1.72
Georges Niang	21	22	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	4	-12	18.0	15.8	2.17	13.1	16.0	-2.93
Paul Reed	26	26	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	6	-16	18.7	15.4	3.28	14.8	15.7	-0.88
De'Anthony Melton	71	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	4	-12	17.3	14.1	3.23	15.4	15.5	-0.04
James Harden	88	91	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.45	-11	7	-18	16.4	15.4	0.93	15.1	16.8	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.29,0.37,0.53,0.41,0.33,0.68,0.37,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.37,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.53,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 90, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.46,0.77,0.57,1	86.8%
CHH 82, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.31,0.54,0.46,0.69,0.78,0.57,0.74,1	86.6%
UTA 82, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.72,1	86.5%