NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	82		Excitement	9.4 [97]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): +29.5%
Chicago Bulls	84		Comeback	3.3 [391]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -21.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	9	61%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	5	90%	0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.20	7	-0.27	3	67%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	35%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Carr	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	8	37%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.13,-0.22	-0.09	-0.17	-0.04	22	46%	-0.15	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.33

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.04	0.26	0.00	19	67%	0.51	6	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.29	0.29	0.03	0.26	0.00	27	51%	0.29	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.07
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	7	25%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	397.7	2.6	28.1	16.7	-695.3	3.0	34.0	-213.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +41.9%

CHI +19.4%

UTA -27.5%

CHI +16.5%

UTA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	17.0	16.1	15.6	94.3	96.6	104.4
season	15.6	15.5		110.8	110.5
opponent	16.1	16.0		99.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.3	17.6	15.0	21.1	17.0
CHI	15.3	15.1	15.6	18.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Foster	29	29	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.08	0	-2	2	17.7	16.7	1.02	16.9	15.7	1.26
Chris Morris	9	8	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-3	4	20.4	16.6	3.83	16.2	16.1	0.17
Howard Eisley	19	18	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-3	4	15.2	17.5	-2.30	15.9	16.1	-0.19
Greg Ostertag	35	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-1	0	15.4	18.1	-2.70	15.3	16.7	-1.39
Shandon Anderson	31	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-3	4	19.0	15.9	3.09	16.8	15.7	1.06
Jeff Hornacek	60	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	1	-4	16.1	18.9	-2.78	16.0	16.4	-0.40
Antoine Carr	34	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-4	6	18.7	15.9	2.78	17.3	15.4	1.95
John Stockton	68	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.44	-3	1	-4	17.5	15.2	2.30	16.1	15.9	0.19
Karl Malone	76	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.46	-5	3	-8	16.7	18.9	-2.17	15.6	19.3	-3.64
Bryon Russell	74	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.55	-3	1	-4	16.5	20.2	-3.69	15.9	17.3	-1.44

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	76	75	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.51	3	-1	4	15.8	18.1	-2.29	16.5	20.2	-3.66
Scottie Pippen	79	80	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	-1	4	15.7	19.9	-4.17	16.8	18.9	-2.01
Steve Kerr	11	12	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	-2	6	17.5	15.9	1.56	15.2	17.3	-2.04
Toni Kukoc	37	38	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	-1	4	17.3	15.2	2.14	17.7	16.5	1.19
Jud Buechler	18	18	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.37	0	2	-2	18.4	15.5	2.90	18.1	16.7	1.39
Ron Harper	53	52	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	-2	6	16.3	15.7	0.63	17.5	16.3	1.17
Luc Longley	56	54	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	-6	14	15.3	17.5	-2.26	15.8	19.0	-3.25
Dennis Rodman	61	62	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.21	-2	4	-6	15.8	16.7	-0.86	16.8	17.5	-0.71
Randy Brown	19	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	8	-14	15.0	16.4	-1.40	17.5	16.9	0.66
Bison Dele	25	25	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.01	-7	9	-16	16.8	15.8	1.05	19.9	15.9	4.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.58,1	92.5%
SAS 106, OKC 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.53,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.27,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.83,1	92.3%
PHX 89, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.58,1	92.1%