NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	90		Excitement	8.8 [141]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +15.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	2.9 [248]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -39.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.2,-0.03,-0.15	-0.01	-0.13	0.01	13	50%	-0.08	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.10
Paul Pierce	-0.34	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.22,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	15	33%	-0.23	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.32,-0.32,-0.39	-0.09	-0.28	0.02	17	45%	-0.04	5	-0.35	4	75%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.08,-0.11,0,0,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.02	0.05	24	73%	0.41	5	-0.26	7	100%	0.02
Alonzo Gee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.00	7	50%	0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	87%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	33%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	10	27%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	12	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.06	-0.18	-0.00	18	54%	0.02	1	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.4	27.4	15.0	27.3	1.6	37.3	134.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +68.4%

BOS -14.4%

BOS -18.9%

CLE +15.9%

BOS -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	15.4	15.4	95.7	97.9	104.1
season	14.9	15.5		101.2	102.5
opponent	15.2	16.2		107.7	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.1	14.0	14.3	15.6	14.7
CLE	16.9	16.6	16.3	12.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	42	42	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.08	7	-12	19	14.5	14.9	-0.44	15.5	15.3	0.21
Courtney Lee	31	30	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-6	7	13.7	15.3	-1.59	14.1	16.0	-1.93
Jason Terry	41	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.19	4	-9	13	14.8	14.7	0.02	14.0	16.5	-2.43
Brandon Bass	51	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.11	-7	2	-9	15.3	14.1	1.20	16.7	13.8	2.94
Jared Sullinger	51	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-1	-3	15.0	14.4	0.56	15.4	15.4	-0.06
Kevin Garnett	60	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	14.5	15.1	-0.54	15.7	14.9	0.85
Avery Bradley	49	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	0	-5	14.7	14.8	-0.19	16.2	14.5	1.72
Paul Pierce	73	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.36	-8	3	-11	14.9	14.0	0.90	14.9	17.4	-2.53
Rajon Rondo	72	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	5	-15	14.8	14.6	0.20	15.5	15.1	0.33

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	69	65	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.38	8	-3	11	15.6	14.9	0.77	14.4	15.6	-1.22
Tristan Thompson	79	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.27	9	-4	13	15.9	13.2	2.74	14.9	14.3	0.60
Kyrie Irving	75	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-6	17	15.4	15.5	-0.19	14.8	14.4	0.44
Alonzo Gee	64	61	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	-3	11	14.8	16.5	-1.64	14.2	15.7	-1.47
Tyler Zeller	73	72	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	0	5	15.9	13.7	2.20	15.1	13.7	1.39
Luke Walton	38	37	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	3	-1	14.6	15.9	-1.31	14.8	14.7	0.11
Shaun Livingston	37	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.28	-6	11	-17	15.3	15.4	-0.13	15.1	14.5	0.63
Omri Casspi	20	20	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	11	-17	16.2	15.2	1.07	14.4	14.8	-0.44
Daniel Gibson	30	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	11	-17	14.1	16.0	-1.93	15.0	14.6	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.46,0.77,0.57,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 105, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.67,0.58,1	91.7%
MEM 100, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.51,0.42,0.19,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.55,0.73,1	91.5%
DAL 94, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.35,0.26,0.21,0.31,0.4,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.57,0.42,1	90.9%