NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	126		Excitement	6.7 [579]		MVP	Dillon Brooks (MEM): +43.0%
San Antonio Spurs	120		Comeback	1665.7 [5]		LVP	Gorgui Dieng (SAS): -6.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0.43	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.43,0.43	0.04	0.43	0.04	11	67%	0.55	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.14	0.03	22	48%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.09	0.05	0.10	0.07	15	59%	0.12	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.07	0.03	20	60%	0.13	5	-0.07	7	57%	-0.10
Xavier Tillman	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01	0.05	0.01	0.05	7	81%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
John Konchar	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Lofton Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.04	6	69%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Santi Aldama	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	8	19%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.21,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	21	56%	0.18	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.00	-0.01	4	100%	0.13	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.04	-0.05	16	63%	0.16	6	-0.06	6	100%	0.01
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.04	0.00	16	53%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	4	57%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.09
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	6	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.01	21	49%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	30.4	16.6	24.6	0.6	36.2	2.6	13.4	151.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +54.9%

SAS -4.8%

MEM +1.7%

SAS -7.2%

MEM +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	13.7	14.1	14.4	111.5	103.4	113.4
season	13.9	14.0		113.4	109.2
opponent	14.1	14.3		119.0	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	14.5	15.0	12.4	12.7	13.7	13.7
SAS	14.3	13.3	15.1	13.9	13.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kennard	67	68	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.21	21	-15	36	13.6	13.8	-0.20	14.3	13.8	0.50
Dillon Brooks	88	90	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-11	28	13.3	14.8	-1.46	13.8	15.0	-1.16
Tyus Jones	93	95	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.18	19	-13	32	13.1	16.2	-3.14	13.9	15.2	-1.39
Jaren Jackson Jr.	93	93	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.40	10	-4	14	13.8	12.8	1.05	14.0	14.6	-0.58
Desmond Bane	84	86	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.65	-6	12	-18	13.5	14.1	-0.59	13.9	14.6	-0.62
Kenneth Lofton Jr.	27	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.26	5	1	4	13.9	13.6	0.34	15.3	13.7	1.56
Xavier Tillman	47	47	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.17	-11	17	-28	13.6	13.7	-0.12	13.5	14.5	-0.96
John Konchar	9	10	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	15	-24	16.6	13.4	3.14	13.9	14.1	-0.22
David Roddy	25	27	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.06	-11	17	-28	14.8	13.3	1.46	14.6	14.0	0.64
Santi Aldama	32	35	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.14	-5	11	-16	14.4	13.4	0.99	15.2	13.6	1.61

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sandro Mamukelashvili	46	43	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.46	-5	-1	-4	15.2	13.4	1.74	14.2	13.3	0.92
Blake Wesley	43	43	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.24	1	-7	8	15.1	13.5	1.65	14.7	13.0	1.71
Keita Bates-Diop	26	25	0.24	-0.74	0.97	-0.11	12	-18	30	13.6	14.2	-0.63	14.8	13.3	1.51
Jeremy Sochan	17	18	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-9	12	14.2	14.1	0.09	15.8	13.3	2.51
Dominick Barlow	24	22	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.29	-10	4	-14	16.7	13.4	3.34	14.9	13.4	1.55
Gorgui Dieng	14	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.32	-16	10	-26	18.1	13.6	4.51	12.7	13.8	-1.10
Malaki Branham	88	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.69	4	-10	14	14.0	14.4	-0.33	13.5	14.2	-0.68
Zach Collins	82	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.59	0	-6	6	13.1	16.4	-3.27	13.1	15.1	-1.97
Tre Jones	77	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.52	-3	-3	0	13.2	15.8	-2.55	13.3	14.4	-1.10
Keldon Johnson	87	84	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.45	-9	3	-12	13.7	15.4	-1.70	12.9	15.8	-2.86
Devin Vassell	76	77	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.53	-7	1	-8	13.9	14.4	-0.45	13.6	13.7	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.77,0.89,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.57,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 133, MIN 129	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.54,0.55,0.7,0.67,0.41,0	91.1%
BOS 116, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.02,0	91.1%
UTA 93, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.05,0	90.0%