NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	133		Excitement	6.7 [499]		MVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): +45.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	129		Comeback	9999+ [1142]		LVP	Josh Okogie (MIN): -26.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.45	-0.06	0.49	-0.02	17	46%	0.53	4	-0.07	14	57%	-0.15
Nemanja Bjelica	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.21,0.38	0.15	0.37	0.15	10	91%	0.41	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.08
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12	-0.01	0.12	-0.00	11	48%	0.13	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.32	-0.05	0.20	24	79%	0.10	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.06	7	75%	0.04	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Harry Giles III	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.35,0.29	0.29	0.26	0.15	0.11	21	75%	0.30	2	-0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Robert Covington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.08	-0.01	12	89%	0.27	4	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01
Noah Vonleh	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelan Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.21	-0.09	18	52%	-0.14	7	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.26	-0.26	-0.05	-0.23	-0.02	7	32%	-0.26	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	28.5	14.6	31.2	2.5	41.3	2.4	19.3	165.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +54.3%

SAC +37.2%

MIN -32.1%

MIN -5.3%

MIN -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	13.8	14.7	14.2	119.8	115.2	109.6
season	14.3	13.8		109.0	107.1
opponent	13.8	14.5		110.9	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	16.4	15.6	12.1	11.7	14.7	13.8
MIN	15.6	14.4	13.7	14.4	16.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Aaron Fox	78	79	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.38	13	-9	22	12.9	15.9	-3.00	15.4	13.0	2.44
Nemanja Bjelica	82	86	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.10	20	-16	36	13.6	14.6	-0.98	15.5	12.2	3.30
Bogdan Bogdanovic	71	74	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.37	9	-5	14	12.6	16.0	-3.43	15.4	13.2	2.24
Buddy Hield	78	81	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	-15	34	13.8	13.9	-0.11	14.7	14.7	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	34	32	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.66	-17	21	-38	15.2	13.2	1.94	14.8	14.6	0.17
Kent Bazemore	44	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.25	-7	11	-18	15.2	12.9	2.32	13.1	15.7	-2.51
Yogi Ferrell	24	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	1	2	13.5	13.9	-0.42	12.5	15.2	-2.73
Harry Giles III	13	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	9	-14	16.2	13.5	2.72	13.9	14.8	-0.86
Anthony Tolliver	10	9	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.11	-10	14	-24	18.0	13.4	4.58	12.9	14.8	-1.96
Cory Joseph	38	37	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	13	-22	15.4	13.0	2.34	12.7	15.7	-3.00
Harrison Barnes	74	73	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.22	0	4	-4	13.1	15.4	-2.32	14.9	14.4	0.50

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan McLaughlin	47	47	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.39	-4	0	-4	13.2	15.8	-2.58	14.2	13.5	0.70
Jarrett Culver	57	57	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.17	12	-16	28	14.1	15.3	-1.11	14.0	13.6	0.42
Kelan Martin	34	32	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.35	-11	7	-18	14.0	15.0	-1.03	13.4	14.0	-0.55
Naz Reid	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.17	-6	2	-8	15.7	14.7	1.01	5.0	14.1	-9.07
Andrew Wiggins	88	90	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.29	8	-12	20	14.9	14.0	0.93	14.0	13.3	0.67
Gorgui Dieng	15	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.41	9	-13	22	13.2	14.9	-1.72	16.6	13.4	3.20
Josh Okogie	54	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	13	-30	15.4	14.0	1.39	13.7	13.9	-0.24
Noah Vonleh	1	0	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-2	0	3.0	14.8	-11.79	0.0	13.8	-13.83
Shabazz Napier	65	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-6	8	15.8	13.2	2.58	13.5	14.2	-0.70
Keita Bates-Diop	54	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.34	-27	23	-50	15.1	14.3	0.71	11.6	15.8	-4.13
Robert Covington	57	59	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.97	16	-20	36	14.6	14.7	-0.11	15.2	12.3	2.93
Karl-Anthony Towns	85	82	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.70	0	-4	4	14.8	14.2	0.66	14.0	13.3	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.54,0.55,0.7,0.67,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, IND 136	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	90.6%
83, 123	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	90.5%
SAC 109, MIL 144	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	90.3%