NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	119		Excitement	9.5 [132]		MVP	Onyeka Okongwu (ATL): +26.1%
Atlanta Hawks	127		Comeback	2.2 [801]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -29.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevon Looney	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	10	75%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Anthony Lamb	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.02	0.09	-0.06	0.01	13	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Moses Moody	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Stephen Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.04,0	-0.02	-0.05	-0.06	27	54%	0.15	6	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
JaMychal Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Poole	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jonathan Kuminga	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	12	38%	-0.09	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
Klay Thompson	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3	-0.07	-0.20	0.02	14	52%	-0.11	6	-0.19	1	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.08	0.00	9	86%	0.26	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	-0.00	11	64%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.03	0.04	15	69%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.03
AJ Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.03	11	50%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	18	58%	0.12	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.11
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.07	-0.03	12	50%	0.09	1	-0.12	4	50%	-0.04
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	14	31%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	25.6	14.6	27.4	2.3	36.3	130.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +41.2%

ATL +6.6%

GSW -8.1%

ATL +11.5%

GSW -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ATL	NBA	GSW	ATL	NBA
this game	12.8	13.8	14.4	109.2	117.6	113.4
season	13.9	13.8		114.1	115.1
opponent	14.4	14.1		114.9	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.7	13.9	13.9	11.3	12.8
ATL	13.9	10.4	15.0	16.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Kuminga	56	58	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-13	18	12.7	12.8	-0.15	14.7	12.7	2.04
Moses Moody	28	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-8	8	14.4	12.2	2.21	13.2	14.0	-0.81
Kevon Looney	76	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-10	12	13.2	11.8	1.43	14.1	13.0	1.18
Stephen Curry	82	83	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.27	0	-8	8	13.1	11.6	1.54	14.0	13.0	1.04
JaMychal Green	33	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	2	-12	11.8	13.2	-1.43	13.0	14.1	-1.18
Jordan Poole	54	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.06	-12	4	-16	13.3	12.2	1.04	13.3	14.2	-0.91
Klay Thompson	81	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	0	-8	12.2	14.4	-2.21	14.0	13.2	0.81
Donte DiVincenzo	83	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-2	-4	12.0	15.3	-3.36	13.9	13.6	0.31
Anthony Lamb	52	48	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	3	-14	13.0	12.6	0.40	12.6	14.7	-2.11

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	76	77	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-5	18	13.1	15.4	-2.24	12.1	14.3	-2.21
Clint Capela	50	51	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-3	14	13.8	13.8	-0.07	12.8	12.7	0.02
De'Andre Hunter	63	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	4	0	13.3	14.5	-1.19	12.7	12.9	-0.19
Bogdan Bogdanovic	55	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	0	8	14.6	13.0	1.64	13.1	12.4	0.76
John Collins	65	66	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.24	2	6	-4	13.6	14.1	-0.49	12.6	13.0	-0.41
AJ Griffin	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	1	6	13.5	14.0	-0.51	13.3	12.3	0.96
Saddiq Bey	49	50	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	6	-4	14.4	13.3	1.05	12.6	12.9	-0.36
Onyeka Okongwu	54	53	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.08	-1	9	-10	13.9	13.7	0.19	13.0	12.5	0.52
Dejounte Murray	81	82	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.22	-6	14	-20	14.2	12.6	1.60	12.9	12.2	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.7,0.8,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.67,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.67,0.88,0.86,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.85,1	92.0%
OKC 101, NOP 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.65,0.72,1	91.9%
CHA 87, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.83,0.84,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.83,1	91.9%