NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Excitement	9.3 [140]		MVP	Trey Murphy III (NOP): +40.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	105		Comeback	1.6 [823]		LVP	Josh Giddey (OKC): -17.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.19	-0.01	0.21	0.01	11	45%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	10	55%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	6	57%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Ousmane Dieng	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	13	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.08,0,0.12,-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	21	52%	0.25	7	-0.38	18	89%	0.13
Josh Giddey	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.06	0.02	9	37%	-0.09	3	-0.08	1	100%	-0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.09	0.32	0.00	13	67%	0.47	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.06,0.25	0.25	0.04	0.21	0.00	18	62%	0.37	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.04
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	7	56%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.07	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Herbert Jones	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	12	41%	-0.01	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.6	24.2	14.7	30.4	2.5	40.2	140.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +46.0%

OKC -3.5%

OKC -4.6%

NOP +12.2%

OKC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NOP	NBA	OKC	NOP	NBA
this game	13.4	14.4	14.4	99.0	100.0	113.4
season	13.7	14.2		113.5	113.4
opponent	14.6	14.5		111.6	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.0	14.6	13.2	13.8	13.4
NOP	14.1	13.1	15.0	15.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tre Mann	52	52	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.16	6	-10	16	12.3	14.5	-2.27	13.7	15.1	-1.42
Kenrich Williams	45	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-6	8	12.3	14.2	-1.92	14.3	14.5	-0.17
Darius Bazley	13	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-3	2	12.2	13.6	-1.32	15.5	14.3	1.18
Ousmane Dieng	28	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-3	2	10.6	14.4	-3.83	13.0	14.9	-1.87
Jalen Williams	55	59	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-8	12	11.7	15.3	-3.59	13.5	15.6	-2.10
Aleksej Pokusevski	55	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	2	-8	14.9	11.6	3.31	14.9	13.9	0.93
Luguentz Dort	64	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	0	-4	14.2	12.0	2.25	14.9	13.5	1.41
Josh Giddey	57	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	1	-6	14.3	12.2	2.04	14.1	14.9	-0.77
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	67	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	2	-8	14.6	11.0	3.58	15.3	12.6	2.63
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	74	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	5	-14	13.6	12.7	0.92	14.7	13.7	0.97

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zion Williamson	75	75	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.23	19	-15	34	14.2	15.0	-0.85	14.0	11.6	2.43
Trey Murphy III	77	75	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-5	14	14.7	13.7	0.93	14.5	10.4	4.05
Jose Alvarado	64	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-1	6	14.1	14.9	-0.74	14.5	11.5	3.03
Herbert Jones	84	81	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	4	-4	14.3	15.0	-0.65	13.5	12.9	0.66
Dyson Daniels	62	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.38	-4	8	-12	14.6	14.1	0.53	12.8	14.2	-1.43
Jaxson Hayes	12	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	4	-4	13.1	14.6	-1.52	12.7	13.5	-0.81
Willy Hernangomez	39	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	4	-4	14.5	14.4	0.05	12.2	14.1	-1.87
Jonas Valanciunas	43	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	7	-10	15.1	13.9	1.20	14.1	12.9	1.17
Devonte' Graham	41	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	5	-6	14.9	14.1	0.74	11.5	14.5	-3.03
Garrett Temple	28	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	9	-14	13.7	14.7	-0.93	10.4	14.5	-4.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.65,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 87, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.83,0.84,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.83,1	93.9%
MEM 99, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.8,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.84,0.68,0.85,1	92.8%
MIA 77, ORL 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.72,1	92.4%