NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	87		Excitement	8.2 [181]		MVP	Tyson Chandler (NYK): +20.1%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	1.8 [599]		LVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): -15.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.01	12	79%	0.17	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.06,-0.06,0	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	13	44%	0.09	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	0.03	-0.11	-0.01	11	62%	0.03	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	6	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kemba Walker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	0.02	4	-0.12	7	71%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.16	-0.02	-0.14	-0.00	16	44%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.04	0.00	8	83%	0.20	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	13	57%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Harrellson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	6	36%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.25,-0.16,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	0.02	0.01	18	45%	0.04	6	-0.16	13	69%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	25	40%	-0.12	1	-0.02	13	85%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	30.3	16.3	27.5	2.4	38.6	139.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA -16.8%

NYK +22.2%

NYK +15.6%

NYK +24.9%

NYK +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	14.1	15.6	90.6	95.8	102.8
season	16.3	14.9		94.1	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.0		100.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	19.9	13.6	16.3	14.4	16.0
NYK	11.4	14.6	14.9	15.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Byron Mullens	32	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-12	20	13.1	17.4	-4.31	15.8	13.2	2.56
Matt Carroll	9	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-2	0	16.9	15.9	0.98	13.6	14.2	-0.61
Bismack Biyombo	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-1	-2	20.7	15.7	4.98	15.5	14.1	1.44
Tyrus Thomas	43	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-1	-2	17.5	14.8	2.74	14.1	14.2	-0.06
DeSagana Diop	40	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-4	4	18.0	14.6	3.39	13.7	14.4	-0.73
Kemba Walker	36	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-2	0	13.9	17.2	-3.33	14.5	14.0	0.47
Derrick Brown	38	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	0	-4	15.7	16.2	-0.57	14.4	14.0	0.37
DJ White	52	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-4	4	14.5	17.8	-3.31	14.1	14.2	-0.12
D.J. Augustin	72	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.35	-2	-2	0	16.5	14.5	2.06	13.9	14.8	-0.87
Gerald Henderson	78	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	15.9	16.3	-0.41	13.9	15.1	-1.13
Boris Diaw	74	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.34	-9	5	-14	16.6	13.8	2.83	13.8	15.2	-1.41

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	77	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	0	4	13.9	15.2	-1.33	15.7	17.3	-1.57
Tyson Chandler	76	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	2	0	14.1	14.2	-0.01	15.9	16.3	-0.39
Landry Fields	74	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	-1	6	14.1	14.4	-0.36	16.6	14.1	2.46
Iman Shumpert	69	68	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	-2	8	14.1	14.2	-0.01	16.9	13.8	3.13
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	77	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	1	2	14.4	13.2	1.14	16.4	14.5	1.84
Josh Harrellson	36	37	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	1	2	14.1	14.2	-0.10	15.7	16.2	-0.48
Toney Douglas	24	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	6	-8	14.9	13.9	1.03	14.2	16.7	-2.43
Henry Walker	31	31	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	6	-8	13.2	14.6	-1.37	13.9	17.0	-3.10
Mike Bibby	11	12	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	3	-2	16.1	13.9	2.20	17.4	15.8	1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.83,0.84,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 87, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.78,0.78,0.74,1	93.1%
MIN 105, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.91,1	92.9%
MEM 99, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.8,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.84,0.68,0.85,1	92.8%